IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jbfnac/v47y2020i1-2p3-26.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymmetric impact of earnings news on investor uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Zihang Peng
  • David Johnstone
  • Demetris Christodoulou

Abstract

We describe a model that predicts an asymmetric impact of disclosure on investor uncertainty. We show that good news tends to resolve more uncertainty than bad news, and that uncertainty can be revised upwards if the investors' prior belief is sufficiently strong and the signal is sufficiently bad. This result is in contrast to classical disclosure models, where new information always resolves uncertainty and the change in uncertainty depends only on the relative precision of the news. Using option‐implied volatility as a proxy for uncertainty, we find strong support for our predictions. We also show that our results are robust to competing explanations, notably to the leverage effect and volatility feedback, as well as to the jump risk induced in anticipation of the earnings announcements.

Suggested Citation

  • Zihang Peng & David Johnstone & Demetris Christodoulou, 2020. "Asymmetric impact of earnings news on investor uncertainty," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(1-2), pages 3-26, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:47:y:2020:i:1-2:p:3-26
    DOI: 10.1111/jbfa.12428
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/jbfa.12428
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/jbfa.12428?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. MeiChi Huang, 2022. "Time‐varying impacts of expectations on housing markets across hot and cold phases," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 249-265, August.
    2. D. J. Johnstone, 2021. "Accounting information, disclosure, and expected utility: Do investors really abhor uncertainty?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(1-2), pages 3-35, January.
    3. Stephen Taylor & Alex Tong, 2023. "How important are semi‐annual earnings announcements? An information event perspective," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(3), pages 3585-3607, September.
    4. Catalin Mos, 2024. "Uncertainty, Financial Reporting Quality and Accounting Enforcement: Evidence from The European Union," Journal of Accounting and Management Information Systems, Faculty of Accounting and Management Information Systems, The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 23(3), pages 616-642, June.
    5. Ahmad, Muhammad Munir & Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Taskin, Dilvin, 2023. "Do asymmetric information and leverage affect investment decisions?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 337-345.
    6. Catalin MOS, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty, Financial Reporting Quality, and Audit Fees: Examining the Role of Industry Characteristics and International Accounting Standards," The Audit Financiar journal, Chamber of Financial Auditors of Romania, vol. 22(176), pages 791-802, October.
    7. Wen Chen & Mozaffar Khan & Leonid Kogan & George Serafeim, 2021. "Cross‐firm return predictability and accounting quality," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(1-2), pages 70-101, January.
    8. Jeong‐Bon Kim & Jeff J. Wang & Eliza Xia Zhang, 2021. "Does real earnings smoothing reduce investors’ perceived risk?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(9-10), pages 1560-1595, October.
    9. Figlioli, Bruno & Lemes, Sirlei & Lima, Fabiano Guasti, 2020. "In search for good news: The relationship between accounting information, bounded rationality and hard-to-value stocks," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:47:y:2020:i:1-2:p:3-26. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0306-686X .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.