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KLSE Long Run Overreaction and the Chinese New‐Year Effect

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  • Zamri Ahmad
  • Simon Hussain

Abstract

This study investigates long run overreaction and seasonal effects for Malaysian stocks quoted on the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE), for the period 1986–1996. Stocks exhibiting extreme returns relative to the market over a three year period experience a reversal of fortunes during the following three years. There is also evidence that employing a contrarian trading strategy may yield excess returns. Of particular interest is the apparent existence of a Chinese New Year effect in both the level of market returns, and the overreaction profile for KLSE stocks. These seasonalities mirror the January‐effect observed in US markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Zamri Ahmad & Simon Hussain, 2001. "KLSE Long Run Overreaction and the Chinese New‐Year Effect," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1‐2), pages 63-105, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jbfnac:v:28:y:2001:i:1-2:p:63-105
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-5957.00366
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    Cited by:

    1. Wong Pik Har & Lim Wei Chih, 2016. "Effects of Holidays on the Malaysian Stock Exchange," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(2), pages 274-274, January.
    2. Mohamed M. Dhiaf & Khakan Najaf & Hazem Marashdeh & Osama F. Atayah & Guilherme F. Frederico, 2022. "The role of project’s initiatives focused on the reduction of environmental footprints during COVID-19: evidence from the United States firms," Operations Management Research, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 413-427, June.
    3. Recep Bildik & Güzhan Gülay, 2007. "Profitability of Contrarian Strategies: Evidence from the Istanbul Stock Exchange," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 7(1‐2), pages 61-87, March.
    4. Ramona DUMITRIU & Razvan STEFANESCU, 2017. "The Behavior of Stock Prices during Lent and Advent," Risk in Contemporary Economy, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, pages 95-112.
    5. Jasman Tuyon & Zamri Ahmada, 2016. "Behavioural finance perspectives on Malaysian stock market efficiency," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 16(1), pages 43-61, March.
    6. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, June.
    7. Ming-Ming Lai & Lee-Lee Chong & Siow-Hooi Tan, 2010. "Behavioral Finance in Malaysia," Chapters, in: Brian Bruce (ed.), Handbook of Behavioral Finance, chapter 21, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    8. Ramona DUMITRIU & Razvan STEFANESCU, 2017. "The Behavior of Stock Prices during Lent and Advent," Proceedings RCE 2017, Editura Lumen, vol. 0, pages 95-112, November.
    9. Brian Bruce (ed.), 2010. "Handbook of Behavioral Finance," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 13629.
    10. Hisham Farag & Robert Cressy, 2010. "Do unobservable factors explain the disposition effect in emerging stock markets?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(15), pages 1173-1183.
    11. Gishan Dissanaike & Alexandre Le Fur, 2003. "On the Use of the Log CAR Measure in Event Studies," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(7‐8), pages 1165-1170, September.
    12. Hisham Farag, 2015. "Long-term Overreaction, Regulatory Policies and Stock Market Anomalies: Evidence from Egypt," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 14(2), pages 112-139, August.
    13. Stuart Locke & Kartick Gupta, 2009. "Applicability of Contrarian Strategy in the Bombay Stock Exchange," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 8(2), pages 165-189, May.
    14. Ushad Agathee Subadar & Muhammad Anas Hossenbaccus A.R., 2010. "Profitability of Contrarian Strategies: Evidence from the Stock Exchange of Mauritius," Organizations and Markets in Emerging Economies, Faculty of Economics, Vilnius University, vol. 1(2).
    15. Yuan, Tian & Gupta, Rakesh, 2014. "Chinese Lunar New Year effect in Asian stock markets, 1999–2012," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 529-537.
    16. Fan, Ying, 2023. "Collaborative integration, workplace flexibility and scholarly productivity: Evidence from the COVID-19 outbreak," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 1-15.

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