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New sources of housing market risk: Asset pricing for the US state‐level housing markets

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  • MeiChi Huang

Abstract

This study develops three novel housing risk factors to explore the sources of risk in US state‐level housing markets. The asset‐pricing models enrich our investigations into housing markets from three perspectives: housing boom–bust, volatile–calm, and factors’ time‐varying impact regimes. The findings indicate that state‐level housing returns all show significant exposure to systemic risk of housing markets, but the demographic and economic factors’ explanatory powers for housing returns differ across markets. Although the liquidity factor is significant under all three frameworks, the inventory and credit factors show significant impacts only in the impact‐switching specification. There are differences in the responses of housing returns to various risk factors and shifts in housing regimes across state housing markets, depending on whether the states exhibited housing bubbles. The results suggest that an effective housing stabilization mechanism must be capable of tracking shifts in the relations between housing markets and risk factors.

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  • MeiChi Huang, 2020. "New sources of housing market risk: Asset pricing for the US state‐level housing markets," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(1), pages 135-174, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:intfin:v:23:y:2020:i:1:p:135-174
    DOI: 10.1111/infi.12356
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    Cited by:

    1. Arkadiusz Górski & Agnieszka Parkitna & Kamila Urbańska, 2021. "Identification of risks of investments into residential premises for rent in Poland," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 31(4), pages 53-68.
    2. MeiChi Huang, 2022. "Time‐varying roles of housing risk factors in state‐level housing markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4660-4683, October.
    3. Arkadiusz Górski & Kamila Urbańska & Agnieszka Parkitna, 2020. "Identification of risks of investments into residential premises for rent in Poland," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/15, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.

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