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The impact of climate changes on agriculture export trade in Pakistan: Evidence from time‐series analysis

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  • Yasir Khan
  • Qiu Bin
  • Taimoor Hassan

Abstract

Agriculture is one of the primary contributors to Pakistan's economy. However, over the last few decades, the atmospheric carbon dioxide emission has been amplified to a great extent in Pakistan. This amplification may cause climate change, global warming, and environmental mitigation in Pakistan. This paper empirically investigates the impact of CO2 emissions on the agricultural export trade of Pakistan over the period 1975–2017. Evidence suggests that climate change could be a primary cause for the decline in Pakistan's agriculture export trade; no studies have been carried out for this specific issue, particularly over time. In this paper, the empirical analysis suggests the negative coefficient of agriculture export trade with CO2 emissions subsequently decreases agriculture export trade, which leads to direct impact on Pakistan's economy. Both theoretical and empirical outcomes suggest that the adaptation of clean and green energies and technologies are the key to reduce pollution in Pakistan. Overall, the effects of carbon dioxide emissions on agriculture export trade are stronger in the long‐run dynamics, thus making the finding heterogeneous. Possible initiatives should be taken by the government of Pakistan to improve the agriculture sector and it should also introduce new policies to reduce the emissions of carbon dioxide.

Suggested Citation

  • Yasir Khan & Qiu Bin & Taimoor Hassan, 2019. "The impact of climate changes on agriculture export trade in Pakistan: Evidence from time‐series analysis," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(4), pages 1568-1589, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:growch:v:50:y:2019:i:4:p:1568-1589
    DOI: 10.1111/grow.12333
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Xiuqin Zhang & Xudong Shi & Yasir Khan & Taimoor Hassan & Mohamed Marie, 2023. "Carbon Neutrality Challenge: Analyse the Role of Energy Productivity, Renewable Energy, and Collaboration in Climate Mitigation Technology in OECD Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, February.
    2. Usman Mehmood & Ephraim Bonah Agyekum & Hossam Kotb & Ahmad H. Milyani & Abdullah Ahmed Azhari & Salman Tariq & Zia ul Haq & Arif Ullah & Kashif Raza & Vladimir Ivanovich Velkin, 2022. "Exploring the Role of Communication Technologies, Governance, and Renewable Energy for Ecological Footprints in G11 Countries: Implications for Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-13, October.
    3. Salman Ali Shah & Xingyi Ye & Bo Wang & Xiangjun Wu, 2024. "Dynamic Linkages among Carbon Emissions, Artificial Intelligence, Economic Policy Uncertainty, and Renewable Energy Consumption: Evidence from East Asia and Pacific Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-23, August.
    4. Hassan, Taimoor & Song, Huaming & Khan, Yasir & Kirikkaleli, Dervis, 2022. "Energy efficiency a source of low carbon energy sources? Evidence from 16 high-income OECD economies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    5. Siliang Guo & Yanhua Diao & Junliang Du, 2022. "Coupling Coordination Measurement and Evaluation of Urban Digitalization and Green Development in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-32, November.
    6. Khan, Yasir & Oubaih, Hana & Elgourrami, Fatima Zahra, 2022. "The effect of renewable energy sources on carbon dioxide emissions: Evaluating the role of governance, and ICT in Morocco," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 752-763.
    7. Khan, Yasir & Hassan, Taimoor & Guiqin, Huang & Nabi, Ghulam, 2023. "Analyzing the impact of natural resources and rule of law on sustainable environment: A proposed policy framework for BRICS economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    8. Muhammad Usman & Muhammad Wasim & Rao Bahkat Yawar, 2023. "Assessing the Economic Implications of Climate Change on Agriculture in Punjab in Pakistan: Farmers Perception and Satisfaction," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 12(3), pages 501-518.
    9. Yasir Khan & Hana Oubaih & Taimoor Hassan, 2024. "Assessing the Role of Energy Depletion and Energy Import with Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Belt and Road Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 7852-7872, June.
    10. Rehan, Mohammad & Raza, Muhammad Amir & Aman, M.M. & Abro, Abdul Ghani & Ismail, Iqbal Mohammad Ibrahim & Munir, Said & Summan, Ahmed & Shahzad, Khurram & Rashid, Muhammad Imtiaz & Ali, Nadeem, 2023. "Untapping the potential of bioenergy for achieving sustainable energy future in Pakistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    11. Adedoyin, Festus Fatai & Erum, Naila & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2022. "Does higher innovation intensity matter for abating the climate crisis in the presence of economic complexities? Evidence from a Global Panel Data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    12. Yasir Khan & Taimoor Hassan & Cai Shukai & Hana Oubaih & Muhammad Nisar Khan & Jawed Kootwal & Ubaid Ur Rahman Rehimi, 2022. "The nexus between infrastructure development, economic growth, foreign direct investment, and trade: an empirical investigation from China’s regional trade data," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(7), pages 1-31, July.
    13. Muhammad Usman & Muhammad Wasim & Rao Bahkat Yawar, 2023. "Assessing the Economic Implications of Climate Change on Agriculture in Punjab in Pakistan: Farmers Perception and Satisfaction," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 12(3), pages 348-365.
    14. Yasir Khan & Cai ShuKai & Taimoor Hassan & Jawed Kootwal & Muhammad Nisar Khan, 2021. "The links between renewable energy, fossil energy, terrorism, economic growth and trade openness: the case of Pakistan," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(9), pages 1-25, September.
    15. Wei Hu & Yuejing Ge & Zhiding Hu & Shuai Ye & Feng Yang & Haining Jiang & Kun Hou & Yun Deng, 2022. "Geo-Economic Linkages between China and the Countries along the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road and Their Types," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-28, October.
    16. Zhang Xiuqin & Xing Feifei & Guo Junhui & Khan Yasir, 2023. "Dynamic Fluctuation Measurement and Factor Decomposition of China’s Export Growth to Japan and South Korea in the Context of COVID-19," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, November.

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