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The Politics Of Investment Partisanship: And The Sectoral Allocation Of Foreign Direct Investment

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  • PABLO M. PINTO
  • SANTIAGO M. PINTO

Abstract

This paper explores the existence of partisan cycles in foreign direct investment performance. Our theoretical model predicts that the incumbent government's partisanship should affect foreign investors' decision to flow into different sectors of the host country: pro‐labor governments would encourage the inflow of the type of investment that complements labor in production; pro‐capital governments would promote the entry of investment that substitutes for labor. Empirical evidence from a sample of Organisation for Economic Co‐operation and Development countries reveals a pattern of foreign investors' response to partisan cycles consistent with the predictions of the model. First, foreign investment systematically flows into different sectors of the host economy under left‐ and right‐leaning incumbents. Second, we find a positive correlation between foreign investment and changes in average wages under left‐leaning incumbents, but no effect on wages under right‐leaning governments.

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  • Pablo M. Pinto & Santiago M. Pinto, 2008. "The Politics Of Investment Partisanship: And The Sectoral Allocation Of Foreign Direct Investment," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 216-254, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecopol:v:20:y:2008:i:2:p:216-254
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0343.2008.00330.x
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    2. Wisniewski, Tomasz P. & Pathan, Saima K., 2014. "Political environment and foreign direct investment: Evidence from OECD countries," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 13-23.
    3. Avsar, Veysel, 2014. "Partisanship and antidumping," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 190-195.
    4. Glen Biglaiser & Hoon Lee & Joseph L Staats, 2017. "The effects of political and legal constraints on expropriation in natural resource and manufacturing sectors," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 20(4), pages 311-333, December.
    5. Jemio M., Luis Carlos & Candia C., Fernando & Evia V., José Luis, 2009. "Reforms and Counter-Reforms in Bolivia," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 1121, Inter-American Development Bank.
    6. Pablo M. Pinto & Stephen Weymouth, 2016. "Partisan Cycles in Offshore Outsourcing: Evidence from U.S. Imports," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 233-261, November.
    7. Zenobia T. Chan & Sophie Meunier, 2022. "Behind the screen: Understanding national support for a foreign investment screening mechanism in the European Union," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 513-541, July.
    8. Bailey, Nicholas & Warby, Brian, 2019. "Explaining the competition for FDI: Evidence from Costa Rica and cross-national industry-level FDI data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 67-77.
    9. Krishna Chaitanya Vadlamannati, 2012. "Impact of Political Risk on FDI Revisited—An Aggregate Firm-Level Analysis," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 111-139, January.
    10. Philipp Engler & Alexander Wulff, 2014. "Opposition to capital market opening," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(6), pages 425-428, April.
    11. Shouro Dasgupta & Enrica De Cian & Elena Verdolini, 2016. "The Political Economy of Energy Innovation," Working Papers 2016.35, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    12. Lskavyan, Vahe, 2014. "Donor–recipient ideological differences and economic aid," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(3), pages 345-347.
    13. Juan A. Bogliaccini & Patrick J. W. Egan, 2017. "Foreign direct investment and inequality in developing countries: Does sector matter?," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 209-236, November.
    14. Hoon Lee & Joseph L. Staats & Glen Biglaiser, 2012. "The importance of legal systems for portfolio investment in the developing world," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 15(4), pages 339-358, December.
    15. Murillo, Maria Victoria & Scartascini, Carlos & Tommasi, Mariano, 2008. "The Political Economy of Productivity: Actors, Arenas, and Policies. A Framework of Analysis," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 1642, Inter-American Development Bank.
    16. Stephen Weymouth & J. Lawrence Broz, 2013. "Government Partisanship and Property Rights: Cross-Country Firm-Level Evidence," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 229-256, July.
    17. Jiang, Jiangang & Zhang, Jianhong, 2023. "Does political ideology matter in Chinese cross-border acquisitions?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    18. Shouro Dasgupta, Shouro & De Cian, Enrica & Verdolini, Elena, 2016. "The Political Economy of Energy Innovation," MITP: Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways 234939, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    19. David Lake, 2009. "Open economy politics: A critical review," The Review of International Organizations, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 219-244, September.
    20. Cohle, Zachary & Ortega, Alberto, 2022. "Life of the party: The polarizing effect of foreign direct investment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    21. Krishna Chaitanya Vadlamannati & Artur Tamazian, 2017. "Are Left-Wing Governments Really Pro-Labor? An Empirical Investigation for Latin America," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 129-160, February.

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