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House Price Shocks and Household Indebtedness in the United Kingdom

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  • RICHARD DISNEY
  • SARAH BRIDGES
  • JOHN GATHERGOOD

Abstract

We use household panel data to explore the link between changes in house prices and household indebtedness (both secured on housing assets and unsecured) in the United Kingdom. We show that households which are borrowing‐constrained by a lack of housing equity as collateral make greater use of unsecured debt such as credit cards or personal loans. In response to rising house prices, which relax this constraint, such households are more likely to refinance and to increase their indebtedness relative to unconstrained households. However, for most households, house price movements appear to have little impact on indebtedness.

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  • Richard Disney & Sarah Bridges & John Gathergood, 2010. "House Price Shocks and Household Indebtedness in the United Kingdom," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 77(307), pages 472-496, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:econom:v:77:y:2010:i:307:p:472-496
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0335.2008.00773.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Gathergood John, 2011. "Racial Disparities in Credit Constraints in the Great Recession: Evidence from the UK," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-32, September.
    2. Disney Richard & Gathergood John, 2011. "House Price Growth, Collateral Constraints and the Accumulation of Homeowner Debt in the United States," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-30, September.
    3. Lee, Seungyoon, 2023. "House prices, homeownership, and household consumption: Evidence from household panel data in Korea," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    4. Indrani Manna & Martin Suster & Biswajit Banerjee, 2022. "House Price Expectations, Household Indebtedness and Macroprudential Policy in Slovakia," Working and Discussion Papers WP 5/2022, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    5. Mario Fortin, 2015. "Why has the mortgage debt increased by so much in Canada?," Cahiers de recherche 15-03, Departement d'économique de l'École de gestion à l'Université de Sherbrooke.
    6. Crossley, Thomas F. & Levell, Peter & Low, Hamish, 2024. "House price rises and borrowing to invest," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 86-105.
    7. Jeremy G. Weber & Nigel Key, 2015. "Leveraging Wealth from Farmland Appreciation: Borrowing, Land Ownership, and Farm Expansion," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 91(2), pages 344-361.
    8. Dr. Indrani Manna & Dr. Martin Suster & Dr.Biswajit Banerjee, 2022. "House Price Expectations, Household Indebtedness and Macroprudential Policy in a DSGE framework," Working Papers 88, Ashoka University, Department of Economics.
    9. de Bresser, Jochem & Kools, Lieke & Knoef, Marike, 2019. "Cutting one’s coat according to one’s cloth : How did the Great Recession affect retirement resources and expenditure goals?," Other publications TiSEM 9415a8f7-182f-4675-893e-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    10. Atalay, Kadir & Whelan, Stephen & Yates, Judith, 2013. "Housing Wealth and Household Consumption: New Evidence from Australia and Canada," Working Papers 2013-04, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    11. Weber, Jeremy G. & Key, Nigel D., 2013. "Does proprietor wealth influence small business decisions? Land appreciation and farm business borrowing, land ownership, and output," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150408, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. Suari-Andreu, Eduard, 2021. "Housing and household consumption: An investigation of the wealth and collateral effects," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    13. Viola Angelini & Peter Simmons, "undated". "Housing Debt and Consumption," Discussion Papers 11/20, Department of Economics, University of York.
    14. Ryszard Kowalski & Agnieszka Strzelecka & Agnieszka Wałęga & Grzegorz Wałęga, 2023. "Do Children Matter to the Household Debt Burden?," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 1007-1022, December.
    15. Dawson, Chris & Henley, Andrew, 2012. "Something will turn up? Financial over-optimism and mortgage arrears," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 49-52.
    16. Callan Windsor & Jarkko Jääskelä & Richard Finlay, 2013. "Home Prices and Household Spending," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2013-04, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    17. de Bresser, Jochem & Knoef, Marike & Kools, Lieke, 2021. "Cutting one’s coat according to one’s cloth – How did the great recession affect retirement resources and expenditure goals?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 126-166.
    18. William Elming & Andreas Ermler, 2016. "Housing equity, saving and debt dynamics over the Great Recession," IFS Working Papers W16/12, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    19. Mairead Roiste & Apostolos Fasianos & Robert Kirkby & Fang Yao, 2021. "Are Housing Wealth Effects Asymmetric in Booms and Busts?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 578-628, May.

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