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I Will Pay Tomorrow, or Maybe the Day After. Credit Card Repayment, Present Biased and Procrastination

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  • Gustavo Barboza

Abstract

Procrastinating the repayment in full on a month†to†month balance in credit card debt is a problem affecting a large segment of the population. This paper studies the role that present†biased preferences and impatience play in the repayment behaviour of consumers. Evidence from a field study using a sample of 380 college students provides empirical support to the hypothesis that individuals with present†biased preferences tend to adopt a strategic procrastination repayment behaviour that is not optimal to accomplish repayment in full. More specifically, individuals suffering from self control issues and using credit cards to bridge unexpected shortage of income are more likely to fail to repay credit cards in full in the period after the purchase was completed, therefore, carrying over a month†to†month balance. In addition, people with a simple present†biased revealed effect are also more likely to fall behind on credit card repayment, vis†à †vis those that have a higher marginal propensity to save. By the same token, we find that individuals consistently behave inconsistently, that is evidence from our sample indicates the predominance of dynamically inconsistent preferences, in opposition to the prescriptions of the neoclassical theory. In this regard, the naïve type of individuals with present†bias preferences consume beyond their income capabilities and are much more likely to carry over credit card debt into the next period, vis†à †vis individuals that are more sophisticated.

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  • Gustavo Barboza, 2018. "I Will Pay Tomorrow, or Maybe the Day After. Credit Card Repayment, Present Biased and Procrastination," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 47(2-3), pages 455-494, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecnote:v:47:y:2018:i:2-3:p:455-494
    DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12106
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    1. Akerlof, George A, 1991. "Procrastination and Obedience," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(2), pages 1-19, May.
    2. Stephan Meier & Charles Sprenger, 2010. "Present-Biased Preferences and Credit Card Borrowing," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(1), pages 193-210, January.
    3. Thaler, Richard H & Shefrin, H M, 1981. "An Economic Theory of Self-Control," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(2), pages 392-406, April.
    4. David Laibson, 1997. "Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 112(2), pages 443-478.
    5. Shefrin, Hersh M & Thaler, Richard H, 1988. "The Behavioral Life-Cycle Hypothesis," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 26(4), pages 609-643, October.
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    2. Chunchun Chen & Chengchun Li & Guoying Ren, 2022. "The effect of present‐biased preferences on revolving debts: Evidence from urban households in China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2653-2668, July.
    3. Yu Hao & Shuang Liu & Zhu Liduzi Jiesisibieke & Yi-Jie Xu, 2019. "What Determines University Students’ Online Consumer Credit? Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 9(1), pages 21582440198, March.

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