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State Welfare‐Reform Impacts: Content And Enforcement Effects

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  • BRADLEY R. SCHILLER

Abstract

The continuing debate over the cause of the precipitous 1994—1998 decline in welfare caseloads is fueled by the ambiguity of evaluation results that attempt to disentangle cyclical and programmatic effects. One reason for this uncertainty is the lack of homogeneity across jurisdictions in the content, timing, and enforcement of welfare‐reform parameters. This paper attempts to incorporate interjurisdictional variation in program content and enforcement into the standard evaluation model. The results suggest that state initiatives do reduce Aid for Families with Dependent Children caseloads but that all of the aggregate impact derives from a few “tough” provisions that limit welfare access. Variation in local enforcement of exemption and participation rules are also shown to have significant caseload effects. (JEL 138)

Suggested Citation

  • Bradley R. Schiller, 1999. "State Welfare‐Reform Impacts: Content And Enforcement Effects," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 17(2), pages 210-222, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:coecpo:v:17:y:1999:i:2:p:210-222
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7287.1999.tb00676.x
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    1. Terry R. Johnson & Daniel H. Klepinger & Fred B. Dong, 1994. "Caseload Impacts Of Welfare Reform," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 12(1), pages 89-101, January.
    2. Lawrence M. Mead, 1996. "Welfare policy: The administrative frontier," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(4), pages 587-600.
    3. Alberto Martini & Michael Wiseman, 1997. "Explaining the Recent Decline in Welfare Caseloads," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(6), pages 6-20, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hayashi, Masayoshi, 2014. "Forecasting welfare caseloads: The case of the Japanese public assistance program," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 105-114.
    2. Rebecca M. Blank, 2002. "Evaluating Welfare Reform in the United States," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 40(4), pages 1105-1166, December.
    3. Michael J. Camasso & Radha Jagannathan & Carol Harvey & Mark Killingsworth, 2003. "The use of client surveys to gauge the threat of contamination in welfare reform experiments," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2), pages 207-223.
    4. Camasso, Michael J. & Jagannathan, Radha, 2019. "Conceptualizing and testing the vicious cycle in child protective services: The critical role played by child maltreatment fatalities," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 178-189.
    5. Jagannathan, Radha & Camasso, Michael J., 2017. "Social outrage and organizational behavior: A national study of child protective service decisions," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 153-163.
    6. Michael J. Camasso, 2004. "Isolating the Family Cap Effect on Fertility Behavior: Evidence From New Jersey's Family Development Program Experiment," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 22(4), pages 453-467, October.
    7. Chris Herbst & David Stevens, 2010. "The Impact of Local Labor Market Conditions on Work and Welfare Decisions: Revisiting an Old Question Using New Data," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 29(4), pages 453-479, August.
    8. Laura S. Connolly & Christine Enerson Marston, 2005. "Welfare Reform, Earnings, And Incomes: New Evidence From The Survey Of Program Dynamics," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 23(4), pages 493-512, October.
    9. Masayoshi Hayashi, 2017. "Do Central Grants Affect Welfare Caseloads? Evidence from Public Assistance in Japan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1064, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.

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