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Changes in Technology and Preferences: A General Equilibrium Explanation of Rapid Growth in Trade

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  • Peter B. Dixon
  • Jayant Menon
  • Maureen T. Rimmer

Abstract

We use a computable general equilibrium model in an explanation of the recent rapid growth in Australia's trade, particularly intra‐industry trade. Relative to previous studies of trade growth based on multiple regression analysis, our approach allows us to: (i) work at a detailed industry level; (ii) use primary variables to represent changes in technology and preferences rather than proxies; and (iii) use a framework based on explicit microeconomic foundations. We find that most of the growth in Australia's trade relative to GDP is explained by changes in technology and preferences.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter B. Dixon & Jayant Menon & Maureen T. Rimmer, 2000. "Changes in Technology and Preferences: A General Equilibrium Explanation of Rapid Growth in Trade," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(1), pages 33-55, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ausecp:v:39:y:2000:i:1:p:33-55
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.00073
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    Cited by:

    1. Dixon, Peter & Rimmer, Maureen, 2015. "Identifying the effects of NAFTA on the U.S. economy between 1992 and 1998: a decomposition analysis," Conference papers 332660, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    2. James A. Giesecke & Tran Hoang Nhi, 2009. "Sources of Growth and Structural Change in the Vietnamese Economy, 1996–2003: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 23(2), pages 195-224, June.
    3. Mai, Yin Hua & Adams, Philip & Dixon, Peter & Menon, Jayant, 2010. "The Awakening Chinese Economy: Macro and Terms of Trade Impacts on 10 Major Asia-Pacific Countries," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 66, Asian Development Bank.
    4. Kym Anderson, 2005. "On the Virtues of Multilateral Trade Negotiations," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 81(255), pages 414-438, December.
    5. Glyn Wittwer, 2009. "The Economic Impacts of a New Dam in South‐East Queensland," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 42(1), pages 12-23, March.
    6. Dixon, Peter B. & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2013. "Validation in Computable General Equilibrium Modeling," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 1271-1330, Elsevier.
    7. Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer, 2009. "Forecasting with a CGE model: does it work?," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-197, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    8. Craig de Laine & Patrick Laplagne & Susan Stone, 2001. "The increasing demand for skilled workers in Australia: the role of technical change," Labor and Demography 0105005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Anderson, Kym, 2004. "Setting the Trade Policy Agenda: What Roles for Economists?," Working Papers 14574, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    10. Dixon, Peter B. & Koopman, Robert B. & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2013. "The MONASH Style of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling: A Framework for Practical Policy Analysis," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 23-103, Elsevier.
    11. James A. Giesecke & John R. Madden, 2013. "Evidence-based regional economic policy analysis: the role of CGE modelling," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 6(2), pages 285-301.
    12. Colombo, Giulia, 2008. "The Effects of DR-CAFTA in Nicaragua: A CGE-Microsimulation Model for Poverty and Inequality Analysis," Conference papers 331778, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    13. James Giesecke, 2004. "The Extent and Consequences of Recent Structural Changes in the Australian Economy, 1997-2002: Results from Historical/Decomposition Simulations with MONASH," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-151, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    14. Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer, 2023. "What do GTAP databases tell us about technologies for industries and regions?," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-340, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    15. Kohlhaas, Michael & Bach, Stefan, 2005. "The effect of special provisions in the framework of energy taxes on the environmental effectivess - The case of Germany," Conference papers 331378, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    16. Adams, Philip D. & Parmenter, Brian R., 2013. "Computable General Equilibrium Modeling of Environmental Issues in Australia," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 553-657, Elsevier.
    17. Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer, 2010. "Validating a Detailed, Dynamic CGE Model of the USA," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 86(s1), pages 22-34, September.

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