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Predicting financial failure: some evidence from new brunswick agricultural co‐ops

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  • Jorge Dietrich
  • F. J. Arcelus
  • G. Srinivasan

Abstract

**: Given the essential role co‐ops play in the Canadian economy, the primary purpose of this paper is to develop methods to forecast their likelihood of insolvency. However, investor‐owner firms form the basic unit of analysis of most popular bankruptcy predictors used in Canada. The question is whether the key underlying elements that differentiates the latter from co‐ops justifies deriving specific bankruptcy prediction formulas exclusively for each type of business organization. To that effect, this research evaluates the efficacy of these current predictors and suggests an improved predictor for agricultural co‐operatives.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Dietrich & F. J. Arcelus & G. Srinivasan, 2005. "Predicting financial failure: some evidence from new brunswick agricultural co‐ops," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 76(2), pages 179-194, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:annpce:v:76:y:2005:i:2:p:179-194
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1370-4788.2005.00275.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Platt, Harlan D. & Platt, Marjorie B., 1991. "A note on the use of industry-relative ratios in bankruptcy prediction," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 1183-1194, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mari-Vidal, Sergio & Segui-Mas, Elies & Marin-Sanchez, Maria del Mar & Mateos-Ronco, Alicia, 2012. "Assessing the usefulness of accounting information as an instrument to predict business failure in Spanish cooperatives," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 128561, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Vaida Stulpinienė & Vida Čiulevičienė, 2014. "Agricultural Support Influence On Farm Financial Stability," Economy & Business Journal, International Scientific Publications, Bulgaria, vol. 8(1), pages 936-946.
    3. Situm Mario, 2014. "Inability of Gearing-Ratio as Predictor for Early Warning Systems," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 5(2), pages 23-45, September.
    4. Jindrich Spicka & Tomas Hlavsa & Katerina Soukupova & Marie Stolbova, 2019. "Approaches to estimation the farm-level economic viability and sustainability in agriculture: A literature review," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 65(6), pages 289-297.

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