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Transient Crowding and Crime:

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  • Stephen Jarrell
  • Roy M. Howsen

Abstract

. The effects on crime rates of the intrusion of large numbers of strangers into an area are investigated. The sensitivity of six different crime types (murder, rape, assault, robbery, burglary, and larceny) to density of strangers is estimated using a standard model of criminal behavior. The variables which reflect this density are measures of tourists, college students, shoppers from other areas, opportunities to consume alcohol, and the presence of interstate highway exits. The results suggest that an increase in the number of strangers into an area has a positive effect on the crimes of burglary, larceny, and robbery, but very little effect on assault, murder and rape. A significant finding is that “wet” counties have a higher incidence of each crime type than do “dry” counties. From a policy standpoint, officials who support economic growth in urban areas should keep in mind that an increase in the opportunity for illegal activity accompanies such growth and plan accordingly.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen Jarrell & Roy M. Howsen, 1990. "Transient Crowding and Crime:," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(4), pages 483-494, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ajecsc:v:49:y:1990:i:4:p:483-494
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1536-7150.1990.tb02476.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lin, Vincent L. & Loeb, Peter D., 1980. "An economic analysis of criminal activities in Mexico," Journal of Behavioral Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 25-39.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hakim, Simon & Shachmurove, Yochanan, 1996. "Social cost benefit analysis of commercial and residential burglar and fire alarms," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 49-67, February.
    2. Barati Mehdi, 2019. "Punishment Severity and Crime: The Case of Arkansas," Review of Law & Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 1-23, March.
    3. Sara Markowitz, 2001. "The Role of Alcohol and Drug Consumption in Determining Physical Fights and Weapon Carrying by Teenagers," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 27(4), pages 409-432, Fall.
    4. Kerri Agnew, 2020. "Crime highways: The effect of motorway expansion on burglary rates," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(5), pages 995-1024, November.
    5. Gian Maria Campedelli & Serena Favarin & Alberto Aziani & Alex R. Piquero, 2020. "Disentangling Community-level Changes in Crime Trends During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Chicago," Papers 2011.05658, arXiv.org.
    6. Nadia Campaniello, 2013. "Mega Events in Sports and Crime," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 14(2), pages 148-170, April.
    7. Nicholas Le, 2018. "Evaluating Crime as a Negative Externality of Hosting Mega-Events: Econometric Analysis of the 2012 London Summer Olympics," Working Papers 18-01, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
    8. Duha Altindag, 2014. "Crime and International Tourism," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 1-14, March.
    9. Magee, Christopher, 2003. "Endogenous tariffs and trade adjustment assistance," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 203-222, May.
    10. Barati, Mehdi & Adams, Scott, 2019. "Enhanced penalties for carrying firearms illegally and their effects on crime," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 207-219.
    11. Ik‐Whan G. Kwon & Daniel W. Baack, 2005. "The Effectiveness of Legislation Controlling Gun Usage," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(2), pages 533-547, April.

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