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Performance of Intra-COMESA Trade Integration: A Comparative Study with ASEAN's Trade Integration

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  • Ebaidalla M. Ebaidalla
  • Abdelrahim M. Yahia

Abstract

type="main" xml:lang="en"> This paper aims at assessing the performance of intra-COMESA trade integration on the basis of success of ASEAN integration, using an out-of-sample approach. The analysis employed a gravity approach to estimate the coefficients of the ASEAN model which are used as a benchmark to project the potential trade for eight COMESA members. The success of COMESA is estimated by the ratio of potential to actual trade. The results pointed out that all countries of the selected sample are far from their potential trade level, implying unfavorable performance of the regional trade integration among COMESA members. The results also indicate that the gap between potential and actual trade has decreased in the last decade, suggesting a convergence toward the potential trade level over time. Finally, the paper ends with some policy recommendations regarding promoting regional cooperation among COMESA members.

Suggested Citation

  • Ebaidalla M. Ebaidalla & Abdelrahim M. Yahia, 2014. "Performance of Intra-COMESA Trade Integration: A Comparative Study with ASEAN's Trade Integration," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 26(S1), pages 77-95, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:afrdev:v:26:y:2014:i:s1:p:77-95
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    Cited by:

    1. Dieudonné Mignamissi, 2018. "Monnaie unique et intégration par le marché en Afrique: le cas de la CEEAC et de la CEDEAO," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 30(1), pages 71-85, March.
    2. Simplice A. Asongu & Joseph Nnanna & Vanessa S. Tchamyou, 2020. "The comparative African regional economics of globalization in financial allocation efficiency: the pre-crisis era revisited," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-41, December.
    3. Gislain Stéphane Gandjon Fankem, 2016. "Les déterminants du faible degré d'intégration commerciale de la CEEAC: le poids de la fragmentation politique, de la prolifération des Communautés Economiques Régionales et du niveau de démocr," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 28(4), pages 383-396, December.
    4. Samson Nonso Okafor & Chukwunonso Ekesiobi & Ogonna Ifebi & Stephen Kelechi Dimnwobi & Simplice A. Asongu, 2022. "Testing the triple deficit hypothesis for sub‐Saharan Africa: Implications for the African Continental Free Trade Area," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(1), pages 142-153, March.
    5. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Mabe, Queen Magadi, 2020. "How financially integrated are trading blocs in Africa?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 84-94.
    6. Ebaidalla Mahjoub Ebaidalla & Mohammed Elhaj Mustafa Ali, 2018. "Assessing the Intra-Arab Trade Integration and Potential: Evidence from Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model," Working Papers 1247, Economic Research Forum, revised 07 Nov 2018.
    7. John Ssozi & Simplice A. Asongu, 2016. "The Comparative Economics of Catch-up in Output per Worker, Total Factor Productivity and Technological Gain in Sub-Saharan Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 28(2), pages 215-228, June.
    8. Michael Tutu Boadu & Camara Kwasi Obeng & Isaac Dasmani & William Gabriel Brafu‐Insaidoo, 2021. "Assessing Ghana's bilateral exports potential and gap," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(4), pages 634-647, December.

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