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Equity Value as a Function of (eps1, eps2, dps1, bvps, beta): Concepts and Realities

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  • James Ohlson
  • Erik Johannesson

Abstract

type="main"> This paper examines three basic equity valuation concepts: (1) residual income valuation (RIV); (2) in the spirit of Miller-Modigliani, the irrelevance of a firm's dividend payout policy; (3) betas/CAPM, to quantify risk and capitalization factors. As a first cut, results show that RIV, concept (1), lacks empirical support while in contrast concepts (2) and (3) hold up reasonably well. To address (2) and (3) we develop a model where earnings and earnings growth determine value. This model supplants RIV because of its greater intuitive appeal and empirical support. A linear function of eps1, eps2, dps1 maps into stock prices and theory specifies the coefficients’ admissible magnitudes. Both the concepts of dividend payout irrelevance and risk (cost-of-equity per CAPM) restrict the coefficients. Bvps is value-irrelevant, in both the analytical and empirical analyses. The latter can be viewed as a case study; it considers S&P500 firms at two points in time, and the data was hand-collected in real time from a public website (Yahoo!Finance). This scheme ensures perfectly synchronized data and it usefully provides not only consensus forecasts but also real time betas. Overall, the paper contributes by developing valuation concepts and by showing how these can be evaluated empirically.

Suggested Citation

  • James Ohlson & Erik Johannesson, 2016. "Equity Value as a Function of (eps1, eps2, dps1, bvps, beta): Concepts and Realities," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 52(1), pages 70-99, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:abacus:v:52:y:2016:i:1:p:70-99
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Husam Aldamen & Keith Duncan & Simone Kelly & Ray McNamara, 2020. "Corporate governance and family firm performance during the Global Financial Crisis," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(2), pages 1673-1701, June.
    4. Jones, Stewart & Wang, Tim, 2019. "Predicting private company failure: A multi-class analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 161-188.
    5. Ketterer, Simeon & Dionysiou, Dionysia & Eierle, Brigitte & Tsalavoutas, Ioannis, 2023. "Validating implied cost of capital with realized returns by using alternative measures of cash-flow news," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(6).
    6. Leo Vashkor Dewri, 2022. "A Critical Assessment of Interrelationship Among Corporate Governance, Financial Performance, Refined Economic Value Added to Measure Firm Value and Return on Stock," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(4), pages 2718-2759, December.
    7. Alexander Nekrasov, 2016. "Equity Value as a Function of (eps1, eps2, dps1, bvps, beta): Concepts and Realities. Discussion of Ohlson and Johannesson," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 52(1), pages 100-105, March.

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