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Macroprudential Policy and Financial (In)Stability Analysis in the Russian Federation

Author

Listed:
  • Mikhail Andreev

    (Bank of Russia)

  • M. Udara Peiris

    (National Research University Higher School of Economics)

  • Aleksandr Shirobokov

    (National Research University Higher School of Economics)

  • Dimitrios P. Tsomocos

    (Said Business School and St Edmund Hall, University of Oxford; National Research University Higher School of Economics)

Abstract

We study a small open economy New Keynesian model calibrated to the Russian economy with a banking system that trades secured and unsecured debt. Firms endogenously default on their unsecured debt obligations over the business cycle. We examine the effectiveness of four alternative countercyclical policies that respond to the growth in unsecured credit in the economy. The lean-against-the-wind monetary policy is the most effective in simultaneously affecting the real economy and stabilizing the banking system in response to both oil price and total factor productivity shocks. The countercyclical deposit reserve requirement was found to play a stabilizing role following an oil shock, while the countercyclical capital adequacy requirement helped to stabilize the banking system after a total factor productivity shock.

Suggested Citation

  • Mikhail Andreev & M. Udara Peiris & Aleksandr Shirobokov & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2019. "Macroprudential Policy and Financial (In)Stability Analysis in the Russian Federation," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(3), pages 3-37, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bkr:journl:v:78:y:2019:i:3:p:3-37
    DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201903.03
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Peiris, M.U. & Shirobokov, A. & Tsomocos, D.P., 2024. "Does “Lean Against the Wind” monetary policy improve welfare in a commodity exporter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    2. Meylis Orazov, 2023. "The Interaction of Monetary and Macroprudential Policies in the Presence of Financial Frictions," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 3-43, December.
    3. Mikhail Andreev & M. Udara Peiris & Alexander Shirobokov & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2024. "Commodity cycles and financial instability in emerging economies," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 167-197, June.
    4. Martínez, J-F. & Peiris, M.U. & Tsomocos, D.P., 2020. "Macroprudential policy analysis in an estimated DSGE model with a heterogeneous banking system: An application to Chile," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 1(1).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    business cycles; small open economy; emerging markets; commodity prices; financial stability; macroprudential policy; Russian economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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