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Cross-border bank lending during the taper tantrum: the role of emerging market fundamentals

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  • Stefan Avdjiev
  • Elod Takáts

Abstract

Cross-border bank lending to emerging markets slowed sharply during the taper tantrum. The abruptness of this slowdown varied considerably across both lenders and borrowers. We use newly available data to explain the drivers of this cross-sectional variation. Although the initial tapering shock originated from advanced economies, EME-specific factors explain the bulk of the variation in the slowdown across lender-borrower pairs.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Avdjiev & Elod Takáts, 2014. "Cross-border bank lending during the taper tantrum: the role of emerging market fundamentals," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisqtr:1409g
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stefan Afdjiev & Zsolt Kuti & Elod Takáts, 2012. "The euro area crisis and cross-border bank lending to emerging markets," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    2. Patrick McGuire & Nikola Tarashev, 2008. "Bank health and lending to emerging markets," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    3. Michael Chui & Ingo Fender & Vladyslav Sushko, 2014. "Risks related to EME corporate balance sheets: the role of leverage and currency mismatch," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Madhusudan Mohanty & Kumar Rishabh, 2016. "Financial intermediation and monetary policy transmission in EMEs: What has changed post-2008 crisis?," BIS Working Papers 546, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Inaki Aldasoro & Torsten Ehlers, 2018. "Global liquidity: changing instrument and currency patterns," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    3. Mary Amiti & Patrick McGuire & David E. Weinstein, 2017. "Supply- and Demand-side Factors in Global Banking," NBER Working Papers 23536, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Takáts, Előd & Temesvary, Judit, 2020. "The currency dimension of the bank lending channel in international monetary transmission," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    5. Avdjiev, Stefan & Aysun, Uluc & Hepp, Ralf, 2019. "What drives local lending by global banks?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 54-75.
    6. Fernando Avalos & Ramon Moreno & Tania Romero, 2015. "Leverage on the buy side," BIS Working Papers 517, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Ramona Jimborean, 2018. "What Drives Private Non Financial Sector Borrowing in Emerging Market Economies?," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 503-504, pages 143-161.
    8. Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2021. "International Fiscal-Financial Spillovers:the Effect of Fiscal Shocks on Cross-Border Bank Lending," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 259-290, April.
    9. Lorenz Emter & Martin Schmitz & Marcel Tirpák, 2019. "Cross-border banking in the EU since the crisis: What is driving the great retrenchment?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 155(2), pages 287-326, May.
    10. Stefan Avdjiev & Patrick McGuire & Philip Wooldridge, 2015. "Enhanced data to analyse international banking," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    11. Stefan Avdjiev & Elod Takats, 2016. "Monetary policy spillovers and currency networks in cross-border bank lending," BIS Working Papers 549, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Inaki Aldasoro & Torsten Ehlers, 2019. "Concentration in cross-border banking," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, June.
    13. Michael Chui & Ingo Fender & Vladyslav Sushko, 2014. "Risks related to EME corporate balance sheets: the role of leverage and currency mismatch," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    14. Nitish R. Sinha & Michael Smolyansky, 2022. "How sensitive is the economy to large interest rate increases? Evidence from the taper tantrum," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-085, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Takáts, Előd & Temesvary, Judit, 2021. "How does the interaction of macroprudential and monetary policies affect cross-border bank lending?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    16. Daniel Privitera & Malte Rieth, 2018. "Monetary Policy Normalization in the Euro Area," DIW Roundup: Politik im Fokus 119, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    17. Filardo, Andrew J. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2020. "The cross-border credit channel and lending standards surveys," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    18. Mary Amiti & Patrick McGuire & David E. Weinstein, 2019. "International Bank Flows and the Global Financial Cycle," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 61-108, March.
    19. Stefan Avdjiev & Agnė Subelytė & Előd Takáts, 2016. "The ECB's QE and euro cross-border bank lending," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    20. Beck, Thorsten & Bednarek, Peter & te Kaat, Daniel Marcel & von Westernhagen, Natalja, 2021. "Exchange rate depreciations and local business cycles: The role of bank loan supply," Discussion Papers 52/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    21. Uluc Aysun, 2019. "Centralized versus Decentralized Banking: Bank-level evidence from U.S. Call Reports," Working Papers 2019-03, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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