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The effects of macroprudential policies on housing market risks: evidence from Hong Kong

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  • He, D.

Abstract

This paper describes the framework and conduct of macroprudential policies regarding housing market risks in Hong Kong, and attempts to shed light on the question whether policy instruments such as caps on loan to value (LTV) ratios should be aimed at targeting household leverage, credit growth or property prices. The results of empirical work suggest that caps on LTV ratios have been effective in constraining household leverage, but do not appear to have sustained effects on housing prices. The effect on loan growth is likely to be state-dependent, being more effective when there is excess credit demand but less so when there is excess credit supply. In comparison, higher transaction taxes in the form of additional stamp duties levied by the Government appear to be effective in constraining housing demand and restraining housing price growth.

Suggested Citation

  • He, D., 2014. "The effects of macroprudential policies on housing market risks: evidence from Hong Kong," Financial Stability Review, Banque de France, issue 18, pages 105-120, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bfr:fisrev:2014:18:11
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Tigran Poghosyan, 2016. "Can Property Taxes Reduce House Price Volatility? Evidence from U.S. Regions," IMF Working Papers 2016/216, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Ángel Estrada & Christian Castro, 2021. "Function and application of the new macroprudential tools available to the Banco de España," Financial Stability Review, Banco de España, issue Spring.
    3. Klingelhöfer, Jan & Sun, Rongrong, 2019. "Macroprudential policy, central banks and financial stability: Evidence from China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 19-41.
    4. Ángel Estrada & Christian Castro, 2021. "Function and application of the new macroprudential tools available to the Banco de España," Financial Stability Review, Banco de España, issue Spring.
    5. Ahmet Faruk Aysan & Mustafa Disli & Huseyin Ozturk, 2017. "Financial Crisis, Macroprudential Policies And Depositor Discipline," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(01), pages 5-25, March.
    6. Mr. Salim M. Darbar & Mr. Xiaoyong Wu, 2015. "Experiences with Macroprudential Policy—Five Case Studies," IMF Working Papers 2015/123, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Johan Verbruggen & Remco van der Molen & Steven Jonk & Jan Kakes & Willem Heeringa, 2015. "Effects of further reductions in the LTV limit," DNB Occasional Studies 1302, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    8. Salim M. Darbar & Xiaoyong Wu, 2016. "Experiences with Macroprudential Policy — Five Case Studies," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(03), pages 1-34, October.
    9. Mr. Luis Ignacio Jácome & Ms. Srobona Mitra, 2015. "LTV and DTI Limits—Going Granular," IMF Working Papers 2015/154, International Monetary Fund.
    10. José García-Montalvo & Josep M. Raya, 2017. "Constraints on LTV as a Macroprudential Tool: A Precautionary Tale," Working Papers 1008, Barcelona School of Economics.
    11. Hong Kong Monetary Authority, 2014. "What have we learnt about the international transmission of monetary policy in recent years? Perspectives from Hong Kong SAR," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The transmission of unconventional monetary policy to the emerging markets, volume 78, pages 171-183, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. José Garcia Montalvo & Josep M. Raya, 2017. "Constraints on LTV as a macroprudential tool: a precautionary tale," Economics Working Papers 1592, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    13. Mr. Pau Rabanal, 2018. "An Estimated DSGE Model to Analyze Housing Market Policies in Hong Kong SAR," IMF Working Papers 2018/090, International Monetary Fund.

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