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Efficient Computation of Hierarchical Trends

Author

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  • Francke, M K
  • de Vos, A F

Abstract

To model a large database containing selling prices for houses, in which local trends, general trends, and specific characteristics play a role, we derived a new procedure to implement a state-space model for repeated measurements. The original model is decomposed into two parts, which are treated differently. The first part is ordinary least squares on data in deviation from means. This step provides a prior for coefficients to be used in the second step, which is a Kalman filter, providing estimates of the trends and the parameters. The procedure exploits and illustrates the Bayesian interpretation of a Kalman filter.

Suggested Citation

  • Francke, M K & de Vos, A F, 2000. "Efficient Computation of Hierarchical Trends," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 18(1), pages 51-57, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlbes:v:18:y:2000:i:1:p:51-57
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. David Geltner & Anil Kumar & Alex M. Van de Minne, 2020. "Riskiness of Real Estate Development: A Perspective from Urban Economics and Option Value Theory," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(2), pages 406-445, June.
    2. Albouy, David & Shin, Minchul, 2022. "A statistical learning approach to land valuation: Optimizing the use of external information," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    3. Willem P Sijp & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2024. "Estimating granular house price distributions in the Australian market using Gaussian mixtures," Papers 2404.05178, arXiv.org.
    4. Hany Guirguis & Christos Giannikos & Randy Anderson, 2004. "The US Housing Market: Asset Pricing Forecasts Using Time Varying Coefficients," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 33-53, October.
    5. Dorinth van Dijk, 2019. "Local Constant-Quality Housing Market Liquidity Indices," DNB Working Papers 637, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    6. Marc Francke, 2010. "Repeat Sales Index for Thin Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 24-52, July.
    7. Alex Minne & Marc Francke & David Geltner & Robert White, 2020. "Using Revisions as a Measure of Price Index Quality in Repeat-Sales Models," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 514-553, May.
    8. Dorinth W. van Dijk & Marc K. Francke, 2018. "Internet Search Behavior, Liquidity and Prices in the Housing Market," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 46(2), pages 368-403, June.
    9. Melser, Daniel, 2017. "Disaggregated property price appreciation: The mixed repeat sales model," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 108-118.
    10. Marc K. Francke & Alex Minne, 2017. "The Hierarchical Repeat Sales Model for Granular Commercial Real Estate and Residential Price Indices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 511-532, November.
    11. Marc Francke & Alex Van de Minne, 2021. "Modeling unobserved heterogeneity in hedonic price models," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1315-1339, December.
    12. Zhu, Bing & van Dijk, Dorinth & Lizieri, Colin, 2024. "Price diffusion across international private commercial real estate markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    13. Lyndsey Rolheiser & Dorinth van Dijk & Alex van de Minne, 2018. "Does Housing Vintage Matter? Exploring the Historic City Center of Amsterdam," DNB Working Papers 617, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    14. Bahar Öztürk & Dorinth van Dijk & Frank van Hoenselaar & Sander Burgers, 2018. "The relation between supply constraints and house price dynamics in the Netherlands," DNB Working Papers 601, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    15. Alicia N. Rambaldi & Cameron S. Fletcher, 2014. "Hedonic Imputed Property Price Indexes: The Effects of Econometric Modeling Choices," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 60(S2), pages 423-448, November.
    16. van Dijk, Dorinth W., 2024. "Local constant-quality housing market liquidity indices," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).

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