IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bcp/journl/v8y2024i6p129-141.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Government Expenditure and Public Debt in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Blessing Ose Oligbi, Ph D

    (Department of Economics, Igbinedion University, Okada, Nigeria)

Abstract

The study empirically examines the relationship between public debt and government expenditure in Nigeria from 1981 to 2022. The data which is purely secondary data was obtained from CBN statistical bulletin and world development indicators, 2022. The statistical tools used include, the Augmented dickey fuller (ADF) unit root test, auto regressive distributed lags (ARDL) bound testing approach to cointegration, and the error correction methodologies. The empirical findings revealed that government expenditure (both recurrent and capital), as well as interest rate has a direct positive effect on the total debt stock while total government revenue has a reverse effect on the total debt stock in Nigeria. This shows that all the variables conform to a-priori expectations, significant in the short-run, but statistically insignificant in the long-run. This outcome implies that public debt through government expenditure is a good macroeconomic policy, but more share of government recurrent expenditure, as found in this study, jeopardizes the policy objectives. The study therefore recommends a prudent budgeting approach, a reduction in recurrent expenditure in favour of capital expenditure, diversification of the economy to generate more income sources and revenue and finally, prudent public debt management strategies and efficient government expenditure management frameworks to provide fiscal and debt sustainability and enhance the growth process in Nigeria.

Suggested Citation

  • Blessing Ose Oligbi, Ph D, 2024. "Government Expenditure and Public Debt in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(6), pages 129-141, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:8:y:2024:i:6:p:129-141
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/Digital-Library/volume-8-issue-6/129-141.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/articles/government-expenditure-and-public-debt-in-nigeria/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    2. Talknice Saungweme & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2019. "Government debt, government debt service and economic growth nexus in Zambia: a multivariate analysis," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1622998-162, January.
    3. Spilioti, Stella & Vamvoukas, George, 2015. "The impact of government debt on economic growth: An empirical investigation of the Greek market," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 34-40.
    4. Adamu Jibir & Chandana Aluthge, 2019. "Modelling the determinants of government expenditure in Nigeria," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1620154-162, January.
    5. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ahmed Oluwatobi Adekunle, 2022. "The Debt-Growth Nexus in Nigeria: An Empirical Evidence," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 155-161, November.
    2. Johannes W. Fedderke & John M. Luiz, 2005. "Does Human Generate Social and Institutional Capital? Exploring Evidence From Time Series Data in a Middle Income Country," Working Papers 029, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    3. Sushil Kumar Haldar, 2009. "Economic Growth in India Revisited," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 10(1), pages 105-126, January.
    4. Dakpogan, Arnaud & Smit, Eon, 2018. "The effect of electricity losses on GDP in Benin," MPRA Paper 89545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Setareh Shirkhani & Sami Fethi & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2021. "Tourism-Related Loans as a Driver of a Small Island Economy: A Case of Northern Cyprus," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-17, August.
    6. Muhammad Shahid & Rukhsana Kalim, 2020. "Decentralized Tax Revenue, Institutional Complementarity and Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis of Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 25-33.
    7. Naeem AKRAM*, 2017. "Role of Public Debt in Economic Growth of Sri Lanka: An ARDL Approach," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 27(2), pages 189-212.
    8. Frank Gyimah Sackey & Emmanuel Orkoh & Mohammed Musah, 2024. "Investigating the impact of institutional quality under the petroleum price deregulation policy regime on the economic growth of Ghana," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(11), pages 1-21, November.
    9. Cheah, Chee Keong & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Does the growth of islamic bank financing depend on stock market growth? evidence from Malaysia," MPRA Paper 106192, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Saten Kumar & Gail Pacheco, 2010. "What Determines the Long run Growth in Kenya?," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2010_16, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
    11. Senay, Acikgöz & Ali, Mohamed Sami Ben & Mert, Merter, 2017. "Sources of economic growth in MENA countries: A Harrod-neutral technological progress identification framework," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-4, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    12. Singh, Tarlok, 2010. "Does domestic saving cause economic growth? A time-series evidence from India," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 231-253, March.
    13. Huntington, Hillard & Liddle, Brantley, 2022. "How energy prices shape OECD economic growth: Panel evidence from multiple decades," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    14. Najla Tharman Almutairi, 2024. "Does Investment in Human Capital via Education Stimulate Economic Growth in an Oil-Rich Country? A Case Study of Saudi Arabia," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 2933-2955, March.
    15. Moutinho, Victor & Santos de Oliveira, Helena M. & Viana Espinosa de Oliveira, Henrique & Puime Guillén, Félix, 2023. "The augmented and integrative model of economic growth: Theoretical and empirical evidence from USA," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    16. Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & Javier Alonso Meseguer, 2005. "Estimación de una función de producción MRW para la economía española, 1910-1995," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 29(3), pages 609-624, September.
    17. Boachie, Micheal Kofi, 2015. "Effect of health on economic growth in Ghana:An application of ARDL bounds test to cointegration," MPRA Paper 67201, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Themba G Chirwa & NM Odhiambo, 2019. "An Empirical Test Of Exogenous Growth Models: Evidence From Three Southern African Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 64(220), pages 7-38, January –.
    19. Hinsene Lemma Wegari & Sisay Tolla Whakeshum & Negese Tamirat Mulatu, 2022. "Human Capital and its Impact on Ethiopian Economic Growth: ARDL Approach to Co-integration," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 12(4), pages 78-100.
    20. Imtiaz, Amir & Javid, Snober, 2023. "Resource curse or blessings hypothesis in Pakistan: The role of financial development and oil prices in era of globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bcp:journl:v:8:y:2024:i:6:p:129-141. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Pawan Verma (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://rsisinternational.org/journals/ijriss/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.