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Reduction in male suicide mortality following the 2006 Russian alcohol policy: An Interrupted time series analysis

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  • Pridemore, W.A.
  • Chamlin, M.B.
  • Andreev, E.

Abstract

Objectives. We took advantage of a natural experiment to assess the impact on suicide mortality of a suite of Russian alcohol policies. Methods. We obtained suicide counts from anonymous death records collected by the Russian Federal State Statistics Service. We used autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) interrupted time series techniques to model the effect of the alcohol policy (implemented in January 2006) on monthly male and female suicide counts between January 2000 and December 2010. Results. Monthly male and female suicide counts decreased during the period under study. Although the ARIMA analysis showed no impact of the policy on female suicide mortality, the results revealed an immediate and permanent reduction of about 9% in male suicides (Ln x0 = -0.096; P = .01). Conclusions. Despite a recent decrease in mortality, rates of alcohol consumption and suicide in Russia remain among the highest in the world. Our analysis revealed that the 2006 alcohol policy in Russia led to a 9% reduction in male suicide mortality, meaning the policy was responsible for saving 4000 male lives annually that would otherwise have been lost to suicide. Together with recent similar findings elsewhere, our results suggest an important role for public health and other population level interventions, including alcohol policy, in reducing alcohol-related harm. Copyright © 2013 by the American Public Health Association®.

Suggested Citation

  • Pridemore, W.A. & Chamlin, M.B. & Andreev, E., 2013. "Reduction in male suicide mortality following the 2006 Russian alcohol policy: An Interrupted time series analysis," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 103(11), pages 2021-2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:aph:ajpbhl:10.2105/ajph.2013.301405_6
    DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2013.301405
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    Cited by:

    1. Kairi Kõlves & Kate M. Chitty & Rachmania Wardhani & Airi Värnik & Diego de Leo & Katrina Witt, 2020. "Impact of Alcohol Policies on Suicidal Behavior: A Systematic Literature Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(19), pages 1-26, September.
    2. Khvan, Margarita & Smorodenkova, Elizaveta & Yakovlev, Evgeny, 2020. "Economic Crises and Mortality Among the Elderly: Evidence from Two Russian Crises," IZA Discussion Papers 13540, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Gian Maria Campedelli & Alberto Aziani & Serena Favarin, 2020. "Exploring the Effects of COVID-19 Containment Policies on Crime: An Empirical Analysis of the Short-term Aftermath in Los Angeles," Papers 2003.11021, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
    4. Alexander S. Skorobogatov, 2021. "The effect of alcohol sales restrictions on alcohol poisoning mortality: Evidence from Russia," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 1417-1442, June.
    5. Gianfranco Alicandro & Matteo Malvezzi & Silvano Gallus & Carlo La Vecchia & Eva Negri & Paola Bertuccio, 2019. "Worldwide trends in suicide mortality from 1990 to 2015 with a focus on the global recession time frame," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 64(5), pages 785-795, June.

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