IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aop/jijoes/v11y2022i1p117-145.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Czech Republic in the period of 2020-2021

Author

Listed:
  • Adéla Zubíková

    (Faculty of Economics, Prague University of Economics and Business)

  • Pavel Smolák

    (Faculty of Economics, Prague University of Economics and Business)

Abstract

This article provides a comprehensive summary of selected macroeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Czech Republic, including an assessment of certain implemented fiscal and monetary policies, using data from 2019 (to compare the development of the economic situation during the COVID-19 pandemic with the period before the onset of the pandemic), 2020 and 2021 on a monthly or quarterly basis. Particular attention is paid to monetary policy effects, which, unlike fiscal policy, the Mundell-Fleming model considers effective in a small open economy with a freely floating exchange rate. The article also investigates the volume of fiscal measures taken to mitigate COVID-19 pandemic effects, the restrictive measures introduced to Czech households and firms as well as labour market developments during the period of 2019-2021, including quantification of the aggregate labour productivity index. The conclusions of the article are that, during the COVID-19 pandemic, macroeconomic indicators in the Czech Republic acted in accordance with the established partial hypotheses of the Mundell-Fleming model and in accordance with the hypothesis of the modified Phillips curve. Possible causes of the significant increase in inflation since September 2021 include 2020 nominal public and private sector salary growth, which showed faster growth than aggregate labour productivity, and the highly expansionary fiscal policy that characterized the 2021 pre-election period.

Suggested Citation

  • Adéla Zubíková & Pavel Smolák, 2022. "Macroeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Czech Republic in the period of 2020-2021," International Journal of Economic Sciences, European Research Center, vol. 11(1), pages 117-145, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:aop:jijoes:v:11:y:2022:i:1:p:117-145
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://eurrec.org/ijoes-article-117021
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://eurrec.org/ijoes-article-117021?download=8
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. A. W. Phillips, 1958. "The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 25(100), pages 283-299, November.
    2. Eduard Hromada, 2021. "Development Of The Real Estate Market In The Czech Republic In Connection With The Covid-19 Pandemic," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 12713389, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    3. Löblová, Olga & Rone, Julia & Borbáth, Endre, 2021. "COVID-19 in Central and Eastern Europe: Focus on Czechia, Hungary, and Bulgaria," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 413-435.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Katarina Kramarova & Lucia Svabova & Barbora Gabrikova, 2022. "Impacts of the Covid-19 crisis on unemployment in Slovakia: a statistically created counterfactual approach using the time series analysis," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 17(2), pages 343-389, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Michael A. Clemens, 2017. "The Meaning Of Failed Replications: A Review And Proposal," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 326-342, February.
    2. Giuseppe Orlando & Mario Sportelli, 2021. "Growth and Cycles as a Struggle: Lotka–Volterra, Goodwin and Phillips," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Giuseppe Orlando & Alexander N. Pisarchik & Ruedi Stoop (ed.), Nonlinearities in Economics, chapter 0, pages 191-208, Springer.
    3. Frédéric Gannon & Stéphane Hamayon & Florence Legros & Vincent Touzé, 2014. "Sustainability of the French first pillar pension scheme (CNAV): assessing automatic balance," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03460192, HAL.
    4. David G. Blanchflower & Andrew Oswald, 1995. "International Wage Curves," NBER Chapters, in: Differences and Changes in Wage Structures, pages 145-174, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Bill Russell, 2014. "ARCH and structural breaks in United States inflation," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(14), pages 973-978, September.
    6. Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
    7. Esu, Godwin & Atan, Johnson, 2017. "The Philip's Curve in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Panel Data Analysis," MPRA Paper 82112, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Kamel Helali & Thouraya Boujelbene Dammak, 2019. "Examining the Role of Structural Change in a Phillips Curve: Bivariate GARCH DCC Analysis," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 3, pages 385-393, September.
    9. Tomasz Grodzicki & Mateusz Jankiewicz, 2020. "Forecasting the Level of Unemployment, Inflation and Wages: The Case of Sweden," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 2), pages 400-409.
    10. Ebaidalla Mahjoub Ebaidalla, 2015. "Do ICTs Reduce Youth Unemployment in MENA Countries?," Working Papers 964, Economic Research Forum, revised Nov 2015.
    11. Bordo, Michael D. & Rockoff, Hugh, 2013. "The Influence Of Irving Fisher On Milton Friedman’S Monetary Economics," Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(2), pages 153-177, June.
    12. Christian Johnson & George G Kaufman, 2007. "Un banco, con cualquier otro nombre…," Boletín, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 185-199, Octubre-d.
    13. Ghafar, Aiman & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "The unemployment rate and its determinants: the Malaysian case," MPRA Paper 110220, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Ivan Kitov & Oleg Kitov, 2013. "Does Banque de France control inflation and unemployment?," Papers 1311.1097, arXiv.org.
    15. Mehak Moazam & M. Ali Kemal, 2016. "Inflation in Pakistan: Money or Oil Prices," Working Papers id:11507, eSocialSciences.
    16. Francçois Lescaroux, 2011. "The Oil Price-Microeconomy Relationship is Alive and Well," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1), pages 25-48.
    17. repec:voc:wpaper:tech82012 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Israel, Karl-Friedrich, 2017. "In the long run we are all unemployed?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 67-81.
    19. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1996. "Nobel Lecture: Monetary Neutrality," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 104(4), pages 661-682, August.
    20. Skare, Marinko, 2010. "Can there be a 'golden triangle' of internal equilibrium?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 562-573, July.
    21. Weider Loureto Alves & Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira, 2023. "Phillips curve and the exchange rate pass-through: a time–frequency approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2165-2181, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    macroeconomic policy; monetary policy; aggregate labor productivity; labour market data; public expenditure; Phillips Curve; crisis management; Czech Republic; COVID-19 pandemic; Mundell-Fleming model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aop:jijoes:v:11:y:2022:i:1:p:117-145. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jiri Rotschedl (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ijoes.eurrec.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.