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Macroeconomic Variables And Rising Food Prices: Empirical Evidence From Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Hamid Salman

    (Institute of Professional Development Islamabad Pakistan)

  • Faisal Aftab

    (Department of Research Bahria University, Islamabad Pakistan)

  • Rab Nawaz Lodhi

    (Institute of Business and Management University of Engineering & technology, Lahore Pakistan)

Abstract

Purpose This study examines the long and shortrun impact of macroeconomic variable on rising food commodities prices.Methodology/Sampling For this paper mixed method approach is used, quantitative time series data over the period 19912013 and autoregressive distributed lag ARDL approach to Cointegration, whereas qualitative data is collected from thematic analysis of many past researches in order to determine the most and least critical consequences of food prices skies by using NVIVO 10 software technique tree map.Findings The result shows energy prices and dollar prices have positive beta coefficients and having statistically significant impact on rising food commodities price index Moreover, the error correction model’s coefficient is with negative sign that suggests its expected significant adjustment toward longterm.Whereas the qualitative results identified different variables have different magnitude of relationship with rising food prices in different situation Exchange rate, energy prices, money supply are the most critical consequences of rising food items prices.Practical Implications The study therefore recommends that government should develop and integrated efficient and effective energy and monetary policy with longterm future development outline of controlling food inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamid Salman & Faisal Aftab & Rab Nawaz Lodhi, 2014. "Macroeconomic Variables And Rising Food Prices: Empirical Evidence From Pakistan," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 10(1), pages 66-81.
    • Handle: RePEc:aib:ibtjbs:v:10:y:2014:i:1:p:66-81
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.46745/ilma.ibtjbs.2014.101.5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Khalid Mushtaq & Abdul Ghafoor & Abedullah & Farhan Ahmad, 2011. "Impact of Monetary and Macroeconomic Factors on Wheat Prices in Pakistan: Implications for Food Security," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 16(1), pages 95-110, Jan-Jun.
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    Cited by:

    1. Choudary Ihtasham Ali & Sami Ullah & Umar Ijaz Ahmed & Irfan Ahmad Baig & Muhammad Arqam Iqbal & Amjad Masood, 2022. "Can Food Inflation Be Stabilized By Monetary Policy? A Quantile Regression Approach," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(3), pages 205-212.
    2. Choudary Ihtasham Ali & Sami Ullah & Umar Ijaz Ahmed & Abd Ur Rehman & Hafiz Zahid Mehmood & Mudassar Yasin & Mohsin Raza, 2023. "Short and Long Run Effects of Monetary Policy on Food Inflation: A Study of Pakistan," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 5(2), pages 146-154.

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