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The Impact of Oil Prices on The Transportation Industry Stock Returns: The Case of the Turkish Equity Market

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  • Türker Açıkgöz
  • Özge Sezgin Alp

Abstract

This study examines the impact of crude oil prices on transportation sector stock returns of Turkey. ARDL Bound Test approach is utilized to investigate both long-run and short-run impacts. Research findings show that crude oil prices have an adverse impact on stock returns in short-run since oil is a crucial input for transportation firms. However, in long-run, increasing oil prices enhance stock returns in the sector. This result can be explained by the oligopolistic market structure of the industry. This study also investigated the impact of other factors on stock returns such as macroeconomic activity, aggregate stock market performance, and global economic policy uncertainty. The results imply that transportation sector returns are also highly sensitive to macroeconomic and aggregate stock market performances. Besides its academic contribution to the literature, the findings of this research offer precious practical implications for financial investors, industry stakeholders, and policymakers as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Türker Açıkgöz & Özge Sezgin Alp, 2023. "The Impact of Oil Prices on The Transportation Industry Stock Returns: The Case of the Turkish Equity Market," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 8(3), pages 425-439.
    • Handle: RePEc:ahs:journl:v:8:y:2023:i:3:p:425-439
    DOI: 10.30784/epfad.1297913
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Adeel Riaz & Ouyang Hongbing & Shujahat Haider Hashmi & Muhammad Asif Khan, 2018. "The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on US Transportation Sector Stock Returns," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 163-170, October.
    2. Steven J. Davis, 2016. "An Index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 22740, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    4. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Identifying restrictions of linear equations with applications to simultaneous equations and cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 111-132, September.
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    7. Mohan Nandha & Robert Brooks, 2009. "Oil prices and transport sector returns: an international analysis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 393-409, November.
    8. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Çatık, Abdurrahman Nazif & Huyuguzel Kısla, Gul Serife & Helmi, Mohamad Husam & Akdeniz, Coşkun, 2022. "Oil prices and sectoral stock returns in the BRICS-T countries: A time-varying approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock returns; Crude oil; ARDL Bound Test; Transportation industry;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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