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Modeling and Explaining County-level Prosperity in the U.S

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  • Khatiwada, Lila K.

Abstract

This paper explores the impact of space on prosperity. In order to do this, it develops a spatial model for locating prosperous counties and for identifying factors associated with prosperity. Using principal component analysis, a county-level prosperity index is created that comprises four measures: high school dropouts, housing conditions, unemployment, and poverty rates. Five categories of independent variables—demographic, economic, geographic, agricultural, and human and social capital—are used in the analysis. The spatial autocorrela-tion method has been used to determine the spatial pattern of prosperous counties, and the spatial econometric method has been used to develop a model that explains prosperity. The result shows that more prosperous counties have lower minority populations, more economic opportunities, and higher social and human capital. A policy reformulation is important in addressing the issues of less prosperous counties by creating jobs and enhancing social and human capital at regional levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Khatiwada, Lila K., 2014. "Modeling and Explaining County-level Prosperity in the U.S," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 44(2).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jrapmc:243970
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.243970
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    2. Partridge, Mark D. & Tsvetkova, Alexandra, 2018. "Local ability to "rewire" and socioeconomic performance: Evidence from US counties before and after the Great Recession," MPRA Paper 89313, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Schmit, Todd M. & Jablonski, Becca B.R. & Bonanno, Alessandro & Johnson, Thomas G., 2021. "Measuring stocks of community wealth and their association with food systems efforts in rural and urban places," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    4. Gjerde, Kathy Paulson & Prescott, Peter & Rice, Jennifer, 2019. "The Impact of State Fiscal Policy on States' Resilience Entering the Great Recession," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 49(1), January.
    5. Bev Wilson & Mallory L. Rahe, 2016. "Rural prosperity and federal expenditures, 2000–2010," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(1-2), pages 3-26, March.

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