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Study on the Contemporary Relationship between International and Domestic Grain Prices in Developing Countries: Focusing on Long Run and Short Run

Author

Listed:
  • Yan, Shuqin
  • Ogundari, Kolawole
  • Cao, Zhengwei
  • Isoda, Hiroshi
  • Ito, Shoichi
  • Saito, Hisamitsu

Abstract

This study attempts to analyze long-run and short-run relationships between domestic and international grain prices; and judge whether there was a significant causality relationship between them. The results indicate that international grain prices have a positive effect on the domestic prices, and international prices increased the domestic prices during and after the 2007-2008 grain price-crisis. For causality, in short-run term, for rice in Nicaragua and Tunisia, for wheat in Georgia, Pakistan and Armenia, international prices significantly affected domestic prices; in the long-run, for rice in Dominican, Nicaragua and Tunisia, for wheat in Armenia, Georgia, Mauritania and Pakistan, and for maize in Chad, Guatemala and Nicaragua, domestic prices may be influenced by international prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Yan, Shuqin & Ogundari, Kolawole & Cao, Zhengwei & Isoda, Hiroshi & Ito, Shoichi & Saito, Hisamitsu, 2015. "Study on the Contemporary Relationship between International and Domestic Grain Prices in Developing Countries: Focusing on Long Run and Short Run," Japanese Journal of Agricultural Economics (formerly Japanese Journal of Rural Economics), Agricultural Economics Society of Japan (AESJ), vol. 17, pages 1-6.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jpjjre:242116
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.242116
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nicholas Ngepah, 2012. "Long Life and Productivity in South Africa: Long Burdensome or Long Healthy?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 24(4), pages 371-387, December.
    2. Katsushi Imai & Raghav Gaiha & Ganesh Thapa, 2008. "Transmission of World Commodity Prices to Domestic Commodity Prices in India and China," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series 4508, GDI, The University of Manchester.
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