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Trends and Decomposition of Agricultural Growth and Crop Output in Gujarat: Recent Evidence

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  • Pattnaik, Itishree
  • Shah, Amita

Abstract

The growth story of Gujarat’s agriculture (with around 10 per cent growth rate in the recent phase) has received considerable attention and is often hailed as a role model for other states to follow. In this context, it is therefore important to examine the major factors contributing to this high growth performance. This paper tries to identify these factors by undertaking a decomposition analysis with reference to price, area, cropping pattern and yield. The decomposition analysis suggests that the individual effect of price alone has increased over time along with a reduction in the yield effect. The price-area interaction effect which was negative during the 1990s turned out to be positive in the recent phase. Similarly, the interaction of yield and price has become positive in the recent phase. This implies most of the crops for which there was substantial price increase show favourable change in yield and area. increase, shows favourable changes in yield and area.

Suggested Citation

  • Pattnaik, Itishree & Shah, Amita, 2015. "Trends and Decomposition of Agricultural Growth and Crop Output in Gujarat: Recent Evidence," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 70(2), pages 1-16.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:inijae:230027
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.230027
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jamal, Haroon & Zaman, Asad, 1992. "Decomposition of Growth Trend in Agriculture: Another Approach," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 47(4).
    2. Arya, Anita & Mehta, Niti, 2011. "Performance of Gujarat economy: an analysis of growth and instability," MPRA Paper 35712, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Narain, Dharm, 1977. "Growth of Productivity in Indian Agriculture," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 32(1), January.
    4. Majumdar, Kakali & Basu, Partha, 2005. "Growth Decomposition of Foodgrains Output in West Bengal: A District Level Study," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 60(2), pages 1-15.
    5. Sagar, Vidya, 1980. "Decomposition of Growth Trends and Certain Related Issues," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 35(2), April.
    6. Sharma, Vijay Paul, 2011. "India’s Agricultural Development under the New Economic Regime: Policy Perspective and Strategy for the 12th Five Year Plan," IIMA Working Papers WP2011-11-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
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    2. Bhagabat Malik & Siba Sankar Mohanty, 2023. "Fluctuations in Agricultural Production: A Comparative Study across Selected Countries," Journal of Studies in Dynamics and Change (JSDC), ISSN: 2348-7038, Voices of Inclusive Change and Expressions- (VOICE) Trust, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, vol. 10(1), pages 9-26, January-M.

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