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Un modèle économétrique de l'agriculture française (MAGALI)

Author

Listed:
  • Albecker, C.
  • Lefebvre, Claire

Abstract

MAGALI is an econometric model for French agriculture designed for mid-term agricultural policy analysis. It provides explanation for supply of 27 agricultural products, their corresponding inputs and farm accounts, in order to determine farm income level. It also describes structural change of the agricultural sector through demography and investment. The main characteristics of the French farm sector evolution are well-known. The sluggish growth of the seventies has resulted in low investment, slow growth of individual income, and even decrease of total farm sector income, since 1977. Several explanations can be put forward : general economic conditions, worsened by weather accidents, or structural unfitness of French agriculture to market et requirements. Trough dynamic simulations on the past, MAGALI can try to distinguish these various effects. These simulations should clearly point out that MAGALI is mainly built for agricultural policy analysis (in the past or future), particularly through exogenous prices. They also confirm the high sensitivity of French agriculture to price changes and particularly to the « terms of trade » with the non-farm sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Albecker, C. & Lefebvre, Claire, 1985. "Un modèle économétrique de l'agriculture française (MAGALI)," Économie rurale, French Society of Rural Economics (SFER Société Française d'Economie Rurale), vol. 165.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ersfer:351515
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.351515
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jean-Marie Ruch & Alain Monfort & Georges Winter, 1974. "Un modèle agricole à long terme de simulation," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 16(1), pages 27-51.
    2. Thomas Mayer & Klaus-Otto Junginger-Dittel, 1981. "Risk response in Kenyan agriculture: The case of major export crops," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 8(1), pages 27-39.
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    1. Albecker, C. & Bedoucha, L. & Lefebvre, Claude & Mahe, Louis-Paul & Rini, Gilbert, 1983. "Le modèle à moyen terme de l'agriculture française," Économie rurale, French Society of Rural Economics (SFER Société Française d'Economie Rurale), vol. 155.
    2. Francois Bonnieux, 1983. "La place des méthodes économétriques dans le développement de la discipline," Post-Print hal-01600181, HAL.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy;

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