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Asymmetric stochastic volatility in central and eastern European stock markets

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  • Aycan HEPSAG

    (Istanbul University, Turkey)

Abstract

The goal of this paper is to investigate the asymmetric impact of innovations on volatility and the relationship between the stock return and volatility dynamics in the case of Central and Eastern European (CEE) markets using the framework of asymmetric stochastic volatility models. The empirical findings provide weak evidence of asymmetry, a significant and high volatility persistence in the stock markets of the CEE region. The most interesting and different results obtained from the present paper are that there are both of a high variability of volatility and a high volatility persistence in the stock markets of Poland and Lithuania. Additionally, the stock markets of the Czech Republic and Hungary, which have leverage effect, have lower variability of volatility and in these markets the future volatility is relatively certain as compared to the other stock markets from the CEE region.

Suggested Citation

  • Aycan HEPSAG, 2016. "Asymmetric stochastic volatility in central and eastern European stock markets," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(607), S), pages 135-144, Summer.
    • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:xxiii:y:2016:i:2(607):p:135-144
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    References listed on IDEAS

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