IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/agr/journl/v1(626)y2021i1(626)p201-218.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Capital account liberalisation in India: Volatility of capital flows and selective policy issues

Author

Listed:
  • Shivangi JAISWAL

    (NMIMS University, Bangalore, India)

  • Dr. N. KUBENDRAN

    (NMIMS University Bangalore, India)

Abstract

This paper attempts to investigate the relationship between capital account openness and occurrence of financial risks in India by employing finite distributed lag model. Annual data from 1979 to 2018 on real effective exchange rate, real interest rate, international reserve and net capital have been used to compute Exchange Market Pressure index and the degree of capital account liberalization. The study finds that opening up of capital account will have harmful effects on the financial stability of the country in the initial years, say a year or two. However, the degree of financial risks will go down in later years by influencing capital inflows. Finally, the study has suggested that the Reserve Bank of India needs to take precautionary measures to mitigate short term volatility of capital flows before choosing fuller capital account convertibility.

Suggested Citation

  • Shivangi JAISWAL & Dr. N. KUBENDRAN, 2021. "Capital account liberalisation in India: Volatility of capital flows and selective policy issues," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(626), S), pages 201-218, Spring.
    • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:1(626):y:2021:i:1(626):p:201-218
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1526.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.ectap.ro/articol.php?id=1526&rid=142
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Batuo, Michael & Mlambo, Kupukile & Asongu, Simplice, 2018. "Linkages between financial development, financial instability, financial liberalisation and economic growth in Africa," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 168-179.
    2. Eichengreen, Barry & Rose, Andrew K & Wyplosz, Charles, 1996. "Contagious Currency Crises," CEPR Discussion Papers 1453, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Eswar S. Prasad & Raghuram G. Rajan, 2008. "A Pragmatic Approach to Capital Account Liberalization," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 22(3), pages 149-172, Summer.
    4. Ashima Goyal, 2012. "The Future Of Financial Liberalization In South Asia," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 19(1), pages 63-96, June.
    5. Joseph E. Stiglitz, 1999. "Reforming the Global Economic Architecture: Lessons from Recent Crises," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(4), pages 1508-1521, August.
    6. Hali J. Edison & Michael W. Klein & Luca Antonio Ricci & Torsten Sløk, 2004. "Capital Account Liberalization and Economic Performance: Survey and Synthesis," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 51(2), pages 1-2.
    7. Ajit Singh, 2003. "Capital Account Liberalization, Free Long-Term Capital Flows, Financial Crises and Economic Development," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 29(2), pages 191-216, Spring.
    8. Peter Blair Henry, 2007. "Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence, and Speculation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 887-935, December.
    9. Ming Zhang, 2015. "The Liberalization of Capital Account in China: Retrospect and Prospect," International Economic Association Series, in: Joseph E. Stiglitz & Refet S. Gürkaynak (ed.), Taming Capital Flows: Capital Account Management in an Era of Globalization, chapter 2, pages 56-81, Palgrave Macmillan.
    10. Mohan, Rakesh & Kapur, Muneesh, 2009. "Managing the Impossible Trinity: Volatile Capital Flows and Indian Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 70632, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Philippe DULBECCO & Jean-Pierre ALLEGRET & COURBIS, 1999. "Financial Liberalisation and Stability of the Financial System in Emerging Markets: the institutional dimension of financial crises," Working Papers 199918, CERDI.
    12. Dennis P. Quinn & A. Maria Toyoda, 2008. "Does Capital Account Liberalization Lead to Growth?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(3), pages 1403-1449, May.
    13. Li-Gang Liu, 2005. "The Impact of Financial Services Trade Liberalization on China," Discussion papers 05024, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    14. Yuanyuan Shen & Lu Yang, 2015. "Does Capital Account Liberalization Affect the Financial Stability: Evidence from China," Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, Lifescience Global, vol. 4, pages 152-158.
    15. Peter Henry, 2007. "Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence, and Speculation," Discussion Papers 07-004, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. William R. Cline, 2010. "Financial Globalization, Economic Growth, and the Crisis of 2007-09," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 499, April.
    2. Frankel, Jeffrey, 2010. "Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 25, pages 1439-1520, Elsevier.
    3. Aizenman, Joshua & Ito, Hiro, 2012. "Trilemma policy convergence patterns and output volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 269-285.
    4. Moshirian, Fariborz & Tian, Xuan & Zhang, Bohui & Zhang, Wenrui, 2021. "Stock market liberalization and innovation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(3), pages 985-1014.
    5. Philip Arestis & Asena Caner, 2010. "Capital account liberalisation and poverty: how close is the link?," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 34(2), pages 295-323, March.
    6. Kose, M. Ayhan & Prasad, Eswar & Rogoff, Kenneth & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2010. "Financial Globalization and Economic Policies," Handbook of Development Economics, in: Dani Rodrik & Mark Rosenzweig (ed.), Handbook of Development Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 4283-4359, Elsevier.
    7. Aizenman, Joshua & Ito, Hiro, 2014. "Living with the trilemma constraint: Relative trilemma policy divergence, crises, and output losses for developing countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(PA), pages 28-51.
    8. N. R. Bhanumurthy & Lokendra Kumawat, 2020. "Financial Globalization and Economic Growth in South Asia," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 21(1), pages 31-57, March.
    9. Prati, Alessandro & Schindler, Martin & Valenzuela, Patricio, 2012. "Who benefits from capital account liberalization? Evidence from firm-level credit ratings data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1649-1673.
    10. Md Arif-Ur-Rahman & Kazuo Inaba, 2020. "Financial integration and total factor productivity: in consideration of different capital controls and foreign direct investment," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-20, December.
    11. Guven, Cahit, 2016. "Financial integration: The role of tradable and non-tradable goods," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 345-353.
    12. Joshua Aizenman & Hiro Ito, 2014. "The More Divergent, the Better? Lessons on Trilemma Policies and Crises for Asia," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 31(2), pages 21-54, September.
    13. Ndubuisi, Gideon, 2020. "Fettered cross-border capital flows, external finance dependence, and international trade," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 206-216.
    14. M Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Kenneth Rogoff & Shang-Jin Wei, 2009. "Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 56(1), pages 8-62, April.
    15. Majumder Sayantan Bandhu & Nag Ranjanendra Narayan, 2017. "Policy Trilemma in India: Exchange Rate Stability, Independent Monetary Policy and Capital Account Openness," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(3), pages 1-13, September.
    16. Davide Furceri & Prakash Loungani & Jonathan Ostry & Pietro Pizzuto, 2020. "Financial Globalization, Fiscal Policies and the Distribution of Income," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 62(2), pages 185-199, June.
    17. Yung Chul Park & Shinji Takagi, 2012. "Managing Capital Flows in an Economic Community: The Case of ASEAN Capital Account Liberalization," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 8(3), pages 299-320, August.
    18. Ghosh, Atish R. & Ostry, Jonathan D. & Qureshi, Mahvash S., 2018. "Taming the Tide of Capital Flows: A Policy Guide," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262037165, April.
    19. Gu, Xinhua & Huang, Bihong, 2011. "A new approach to capital flows: Theory and evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 1050-1057, May.
    20. Asongu, Simplice A., 2017. "Assessing marginal, threshold, and net effects of financial globalisation on financial development in Africa," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 103-114.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:1(626):y:2021:i:1(626):p:201-218. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mircea Dinu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/agerrea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.