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Natural Gas Transits and Market Power: The Case of Turkey

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  • Simon Schulte and Florian Weiser

Abstract

Turkey is a key country in order to realize the Southern Gas Corridor (SGC) due to its geographical location. However, as the main transit country within the SGC, Turkey could potentially exert market power with gas transits. Whether Turkey exerts market power or not, is crucial for an economic assessment of the SGC. Hence, the article investigates this issue quantitatively using a global partial equilibrium gas market model. An oligopolistic and a competitive supply structure in the European upstream market in 2030 are considered in the model based on calibrations to historical gas market situations. If the European gas market in 2030 is characterized by an oligopolistic supply, Turkey is able to exert market power resulting in higher prices compared to competitive transits, in particular in South Eastern Europe. In a competitive market structure, however, the importance of the SGC and thus the potential of Turkish transit market power is limited.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Schulte and Florian Weiser, 2019. "Natural Gas Transits and Market Power: The Case of Turkey," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:ej40-2-weiser
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    Cited by:

    1. Schönfisch, Max, 2022. "Charting the Development of a Global Market for Low-Carbon Hydrogen," EWI Working Papers 2022-3, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    2. Çam, Eren & Lencz, Dominic, 2021. "Pricing short-term gas transmission capacity: A theoretical approach to understand the diverse effects of the multiplier system," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    3. Berk, Istemi & Çam, Eren, 2020. "The shift in global crude oil market structure: A model-based analysis of the period 2013–2017," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    4. Schlund, David & Schönfisch, Max, 2021. "Analysing the impact of a renewable hydrogen quota on the European electricity and natural gas markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    5. Sesini, Marzia & Giarola, Sara & Hawkes, Adam D., 2020. "The impact of liquefied natural gas and storage on the EU natural gas infrastructure resilience," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    6. Çam , Eren & Lencz, Dominic, 2020. "Pricing short-term gas transmission capacity: A theoretical approach to understand the diverse effects of the multiplier system," EWI Working Papers 2020-2, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    7. Dastan, Seyit Ali, 2023. "The predicaments of the Turkish natural gas market between supply shortages and price hikes," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    8. Hafezi, Reza & Wood, David A. & Akhavan, Amir Naser & Pakseresht, Saeed, 2020. "Iran in the emerging global natural gas market: A scenario-based competitive analysis and policy assessment," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    9. Berk, Istemi & Çam , Eren, 2019. "The Shift in Global Crude Oil Market Structure: A model-based analysis of the period 2013–2017," EWI Working Papers 2019-5, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).

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    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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