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Valuation of International Oil Companies

Author

Listed:
  • Petter Osmundsen
  • Frank Asche
  • Bard Misund
  • Klaus Mohn

Abstract

According to economic theory, exploration and development of new oil and gas fields should respond positively to increasing petroleum prices. But since the late 1990s, stock market analysts have focused strongly on short-term accounting return measures, like RoACE , for benchmarking and valuation of international oil and gas companies. Consequently, exaggerated capital discipline among oil and gas companies may have reduced their willingness to invest for future reserves and production growth. Based on panel data for 14 international oil and gas companies for the period 1990-2003, we seek to establish econometric relations between market valuation on one hand, and simple financial and operational indicators on the other. Our findings do not support the general perception of RoACE as an important valuation metric in the oil and gas industry. We find that the variation in company valuations is mainly explained by the oil price, oil and gas production, and to some extent reserve replacement.

Suggested Citation

  • Petter Osmundsen & Frank Asche & Bard Misund & Klaus Mohn, 2006. "Valuation of International Oil Companies," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), pages 49-64.
    • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:2006v27-03-a04
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    1. Peter Kennedy, 2003. "A Guide to Econometrics, 5th Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 5, volume 1, number 026261183x, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bård Misund & Petter Osmundsen & Marius Sikveland, 2014. "Vertical Integration and Valuation of International Oil Companies," CESifo Working Paper Series 5061, CESifo.
    2. Weijermars, R. & Sun, Z., 2018. "Regression analysis of historic oil prices: A basis for future mean reversion price scenarios," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 177-201.
    3. Ali, Muhammad Kashif & Zahoor, Muhammad Khurram & Saeed, Asif & Nosheen, Safia & Thanakijsombat, Thanarerk, 2023. "Institutional and country level determinants of vertical integration: New evidence from the oil and gas industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    4. Frank Asche & Bård Misund, 2016. "Who’s a major? A novel approach to peer group selection: Empirical evidence from oil and gas companies," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1264538-126, December.
    5. Diaz-Rainey, Ivan & Gehricke, Sebastian A. & Roberts, Helen & Zhang, Renzhu, 2021. "Trump vs. Paris: The impact of climate policy on U.S. listed oil and gas firm returns and volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    6. Misund, Bård & Asche, Frank & Osmundsen, Petter, 2008. "Industry upheaval and valuation: Empirical evidence from the international oil and gas industry," The International Journal of Accounting, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 398-424, December.
    7. Mohn, Klaus & Misund, Bård, 2008. "Shifting sentiments in Firm Investment: An Application to the Oil Industry," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2009/12, University of Stavanger.
    8. Mohn, Klaus & Osmundsen, Petter, 2008. "Exploration economics in a regulated petroleum province: The case of the Norwegian Continental Shelf," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 303-320, March.
    9. Misund, Bård & Osmundsen, Petter, 2015. "The Value Relevance of Accounting Figures in the Oil & Gas Industry: Cash Flow or Accruals?," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2015/19, University of Stavanger.
    10. Abrahamsen, Eirik Bjorheim & Moharamzadeh, Alireza & Abrahamsen, Håkon Bjorheim & Asche, Frank & Heide, Bjørnar & Milazzo, Maria Francesca, 2018. "Are too many safety measures crowding each other out?," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 108-113.
    11. Bård Misund, 2016. "Vertical integration and value-relevance: Empirical evidence from oil and gas producers," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1264107-126, December.
    12. Langdalen, Henrik & Abrahamsen, Eirik Bjorheim & Selvik, Jon Tømmerås, 2020. "On the importance of systems thinking when using the ALARP principle for risk management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    13. Anthony P Cannizzaro, 0. "Social influence and MNE strategic response to political risk: A global network approach," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 0, pages 1-22.
    14. Bård Misund, 2017. "Accounting method choice and market valuation in the extractive industries," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1408944-140, January.
    15. Aune, Finn Roar & Mohn, Klaus & Osmundsen, Petter & Rosendahl, Knut Einar, 2010. "Financial market pressure, tacit collusion and oil price formation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 389-398, March.
    16. Osmundsen, Petter & Teigen, Kjartan H, 2010. "Improved recovery from existing fields. A survey of decision criteria," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2010/8, University of Stavanger.
    17. Mohn, Klaus & Misund, Bård, 2009. "Investment and uncertainty in the international oil and gas industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 240-248, March.
    18. Justyna Franc-Dąbrowska & Magdalena Mądra-Sawicka & Anna Milewska, 2021. "Energy Sector Risk and Cost of Capital Assessment—Companies and Investors Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-20, March.
    19. Misund, Bård, 2015. "Reserves Replacement and Oil and Gas Company Shareholder returns," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2015/11, University of Stavanger.
    20. Finn Roar Aune & Klaus Mohn & Petter Osmundsen & Knut Einar Rosendahl, 2007. "Industry restructuring, OPEC response - and oil price formation," Discussion Papers 511, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    21. Bård Misund & Petter Osmundsen, 2017. "Valuation of proved vs. probable oil and gas reserves," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1385443-138, January.
    22. Ewing, Bradley T. & Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A., 2018. "The dynamic effects of oil supply shocks on the US stock market returns of upstream oil and gas companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 505-516.
    23. Misund, Bård, 2015. "Accounting for Oil and Gas Exploration Activities: A Triumph of Economics over Politics," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2015/15, University of Stavanger.
    24. Misund, Bard & Mohn, Klaus, 2014. "Exploration Risk in Oil & Gas Shareholder Returns," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2014/4, University of Stavanger.
    25. Anthony P Cannizzaro, 2020. "Social influence and MNE strategic response to political risk: A global network approach," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 51(5), pages 829-850, July.

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