IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aea/apandp/v111y2021p440-44.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Machine Learning about Treatment Effect Heterogeneity: The Case of Household Energy Use

Author

Listed:
  • Christopher R. Knittel
  • Samuel Stolper

Abstract

We use causal forests to evaluate the heterogeneous treatment effects (TEs) of repeated behavioral nudges toward household energy conservation. The average response to treatment is a monthly electricity reduction of 9 kilowatt-hours (kWh), but the full distribution of responses ranges from -40 to +10 kWh. Households learn to reduce more over time, conditional on having responded in year one. Pre-treatment consumption and home value are the most commonly used predictors in the forest. The results suggest the ability to use machine learning techniques for improved targeting and tailoring of treatment.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher R. Knittel & Samuel Stolper, 2021. "Machine Learning about Treatment Effect Heterogeneity: The Case of Household Energy Use," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 111, pages 440-444, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:apandp:v:111:y:2021:p:440-44
    DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20211090
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/pandp.20211090
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://doi.org/10.3886/E140181V1
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/pandp.20211090.ds
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to AEA members and institutional subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1257/pandp.20211090?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Weilong & Wang, Jianlong & Wu, Haitao, 2024. "The impact of energy-consuming rights trading on green total factor productivity in the context of digital economy: Evidence from listed firms in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. Olga Takács & János Vincze, 2023. "Where is the pain the most acute? The market segments particularly affected by gender wage discrimination in Hungary," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 2304, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    3. Axenbeck, Janna & Berner, Anne & Kneib, Thomas, 2022. "What drives the relationship between digitalization and industrial energy demand? Exploring firm-level heterogeneity," ZEW Discussion Papers 22-059, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    4. Vincent P. Roberdel & Ioulia V. Ossokina & Vladimir A. Karamychev & Theo A. Arentze, 2023. "Energy-efficient homes: effects on poverty, environment and comfort," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-082/V, Tinbergen Institute.
    5. Takanori Ida & Takunori Ishihara & Koichiro Ito & Daido Kido & Toru Kitagawa & Shosei Sakaguchi & Shusaku Sasaki, 2022. "Choosing Who Chooses: Selection-Driven Targeting in Energy Rebate Programs," NBER Working Papers 30469, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Kayo Murakami & Hideki Shimada & Yoshiaki Ushifusa & Takanori Ida, 2022. "Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Of Nudge And Rebate: Causal Machine Learning In A Field Experiment On Electricity Conservation," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(4), pages 1779-1803, November.
    7. Achim Ahrens & Alessandra Stampi‐Bombelli & Selina Kurer & Dominik Hangartner, 2024. "Optimal multi‐action treatment allocation: A two‐phase field experiment to boost immigrant naturalization," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1379-1395, November.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aea:apandp:v:111:y:2021:p:440-44. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Michael P. Albert (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aeaaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.