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Optimal Foreign Reserves and Central Bank Policy under Financial Stress

Author

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  • Luis Felipe Céspedes
  • Roberto Chang

Abstract

We study foreign reserves accumulation and liquidity policy in an open economy under financial stress. Firms and households finance investment and consumption by borrowing from banks, which borrow from abroad. Binding financial constraints cause the domestic interest rate to rise over the world rate and the exchange rate to depreciate, implying inefficiently low investment and consumption. A role emerges for a central bank that accumulates reserves to provide international liquidity when financial frictions bind. Our analysis yields novel insights on the determinants of optimal reserves accumulation cum liquidity provision and their role vis-à-vis capital flow management policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Felipe Céspedes & Roberto Chang, 2024. "Optimal Foreign Reserves and Central Bank Policy under Financial Stress," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 230-267, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejmac:v:16:y:2024:i:3:p:230-67
    DOI: 10.1257/mac.20210117
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    Cited by:

    1. Jeanne, Olivier & Sandri, Damiano, 2023. "Global financial cycle and liquidity management," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    2. J. Scott Davis & Michael B. Devereux & Changhua Yu, 2020. "Sudden Stops in Emerging Economies: The Role of World Interest Rates and Foreign Exchange Intervention," Globalization Institute Working Papers 405, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 10 Sep 2021.
    3. Masuda, Kazuto, 2024. "The Special Theory of Employment, Exchange Rate, and Money With the Focus on Inflation and Technological Progress," SocArXiv nxshd, Center for Open Science.
    4. Samano, Agustin, 2022. "International reserves and central bank independence," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    5. Davis, J. Scott & Devereux, Michael B. & Yu, Changhua, 2023. "Sudden stops and optimal foreign exchange intervention," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    6. MARKOVIĆ Milan & MARJANOVIĆ Ivana, 2022. "Vulnerability To The Currency Crisis: The Case Of Serbia," Management of Sustainable Development, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 14(2), pages 17-21, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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