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Kullback Causality Measures

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  • Christian Gouriéroux
  • Alain Monfort
  • Eric Renault

Abstract

In this paper we propose causality measures based on the Kullback Information Criterion. These causality measures are applicable in a general context which contains, as special cases, the stationary autoregressive case, considered by GEWEKE, and qualitative models. Estimators of these measures and test procedures are proposed. The nesting of the hypotheses and the asymptotic independence of the test statistics are carefully studied.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Gouriéroux & Alain Monfort & Eric Renault, 1987. "Kullback Causality Measures," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 6-7, pages 369-410.
    • Handle: RePEc:adr:anecst:y:1987:i:6-7:p:369-410
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    File URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/20075662
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    Cited by:

    1. Jardet, Caroline & Monfort, Alain & Pegoraro, Fulvio, 2013. "No-arbitrage Near-Cointegrated VAR(p) term structure models, term premia and GDP growth," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 389-402.
    2. Cabrales, Antonio & Gossner, Olivier & Serrano, Roberto, 2012. "The Appeal of Information Transactions," UC3M Working papers. Economics we1224, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    3. Sarah Gelper & Aurelie Lemmens & Christophe Croux, 2007. "Consumer sentiment and consumer spending: decomposing the Granger causal relationship in the time domain," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 1-11.
    4. Raphaëlle Bellando & Anne Lavigne, 1992. "Taux d'intérêts débiteurs et créditeurs en Europe, une approche en termes de causalité," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 43(2), pages 383-403.
    5. Taamouti, Abderrahim & Bouezmarni, Taoufik & El Ghouch, Anouar, 2012. "Nonparametric Estimation and Inference for Granger Causality Measures," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2012009, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    6. repec:adr:anecst:y:2000:i:60:p:08 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Colombi, R. & Giordano, S., 2012. "Graphical models for multivariate Markov chains," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 90-103.
    8. Mosconi, Rocco & Seri, Raffaello, 2006. "Non-causality in bivariate binary time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 379-407, June.
    9. Taamouti, Abderrahim & Bouezmarni, Taoufik & El Ghouch, Anouar, 2014. "Nonparametric estimation and inference for conditional density based Granger causality measures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 180(2), pages 251-264.
    10. Dufour, Jean-Marie & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2010. "Short and long run causality measures: Theory and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 42-58, January.
    11. Catherine Bruno, 1997. "Transmission de la politique monétaire et régime de changes : une comparaison France - Allemagne - Etats-Unis," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 61(1), pages 139-164.
    12. Claude Deniau & Georges Fiori & Alexandre Mathis, 1992. "Sélection du nombre de retards dans un modèle VAR : conséquences éventuelles du choix des critères," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 106(5), pages 61-69.
    13. repec:cte:werepe:we1212 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Catherine Bruno, 1995. "L'Allemagne joue-t-elle le rôle de locomotive vis-à-vis de la France ?," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 53(1), pages 165-195.
    15. Gelper, S. & Lemmens, A. & Croux, C., 2007. "Consumer sentiment and consumer spending : Decomposing the granger causal relationship in the time domain," Other publications TiSEM 55ac7230-2985-41f1-a42c-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    16. Catherine Bruno & Sandrine Cazes, 1997. "Le chômage des jeunes en France : un état des lieux," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 62(1), pages 75-107.
    17. Richard K. Moussa & Eric Delattre, 2023. "Dynamics of interactions between health and employment statuses: a panel data approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(8), pages 1-26, August.

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