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Sovereign Risk and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

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Author Info
Franz Hamann ()

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Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of sovereign risk on the stochastic rational expexctations equilibrium of a pure exchange small open economy. International borrowing and lending arise from the interaction between a risk averse sovereign representative agent in a small open economy trying to self insure against idiosyncratic shocks and risk neutral international lenders. The credit market is imperfect because the sovereign cannot commit to repay its outstanding debt and chooses to default when it is optimal to do so. The possibility of default induces an endogenous sovereign risk premium on foreign debt and endogenous rationing by foreign creditors. The model is parametized and solved numerically. The experiments conducted here generalize the results of Eaton and Gersovitz (1981) into enviroments with varying degrees of persistence and volatility in the underying stochastic income process.

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Paper provided by Banco de la Republica de Colombia in its series Borradores de Economia with number 225.

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Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:225

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  1. Mauricio A. Hernández & Munir A. Jalil & Carlos Esteban Posada, . "El Costo de los Ciclos Económicos en Colombia: Una Nueva Estimación," Borradores de Economia 353, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Carlos Esteban Posada Posada & Wilman Gómez, 2004. "Un choque del activo externo neto y el ciclo económico Colombiano 1994-2001," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003674, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
  3. Wilman Gómez & Carlos Esteban Posada, . "Un "Choque" del Activo Externo Neto y el Ciclo Económico Colombiano," Borradores de Economia 285, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  4. Franz Hamann, 2002. "Sovereign Risk And Real Business Cycles In A Small Open Economic," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003521, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
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