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Content
2024
- 15-23 The dichotomy of real economic developments in the euro area
by Pavla Ruzickova - 15-20 The fading of the inflation tsunami: Causes and outlooks
by Lubos Komarek & Petr Polak - 14-21 Impacts of climate change on monetary policy
by Martin Motl - 14-20 Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO in 2023
by Filip Novotny & Petr Polak - 14-20 Two decades in the European Union: How have they been for the Visegrad Four states?
by Martin Kabrt & Lubos Komarek & Petr Polak & Michaela Rysava & Pavla Netusilova - 14-20 The rise of artificial intelligence: Does humanity have a revolutionary yet double-edged weapon?
by Lubos Komarek & Michaela Rysava - 14-19 Central banks' macroeconomic forecasts: When two do the same thing, it is not the same thing
by Sona Benecka & Martin Kabrt & Lubos Komarek - 14-18 Blockchain use cases outside of digital currencies
by Alexis Derviz
2023
- 15-21 Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO
by Filip Novotny & Petr Polak - 14-21 Unemployment in the euro area: Why is it so low and when will it start to rise?
by Pavla Ruzickova - 14-21 Is international trade fragmenting? Case study for EU Member States
by Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Jan Bruha - 14-20 Business and financial cycles of major global economies
by Jakub Dolezal - 14-19 Do the breadth and intensity of the tightening of monetary conditions affect their impact on the global economy?
by Sona Benecka & Martin Kabrt & Lubos Komarek & Petr Polak - 14-18 Who will pay the COVID debt?
by Martin Kabrt - 14-18 The saving rate in the euro area and the Czech Republic - potential for growth in consumption?
by Sona Benecka & Lubos Komarek - 13-20 Regional sentiment of Central European currencies in the global context
by Sona Benecka & Petr Polak - 13-19 The inverted yield curve: economic recession on the horizon
by Martin Motl - 13-18 The European natural gas market during the energy crisis
by Jan Hosek - 13-17 Cross-border payments at a crossroads between SWIFT and DLT
by Alexis Derviz - 13-17 At the crossroads of change: The 5G digital economy as a gateway to the future
by Michaela Rysava
2022
- 16-20 Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO
by Filip Novotny & Petr Polak - 15-18 The risks associated with European export-oriented economies' twin deficits
by Lubos Komarek & Petr Polak - 14-20 Current trends in macroeconomic modelling in central banks in light of the turbulent nature of recent events
by Jaromir Tonner - 14-20 Economic impacts of a possible halt in the supply of energy commodities from Russia to Europe
by Martin Motl & Lubos Komarek & Jan Hosek & Sona Benecka - 14-20 Developments in the European natural gas market
by Jan Hosek - 14-19 Long-run impacts of high energy prices: Who will ultimately benefit?
by Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Jan Bruha - 14-19 Hyperinflation is a different beast
by Martin Kabrt - 14-19 In the rhythm of the music industry
by Michaela Rysava - 14-18 How have firms' price increases contributed to the current inflation in the euro area?
by Sona Benecka - 14-18 Container shipping in the time of Covid
by Milan Frydrych - 14-17 Fuel in Europe - what is the data on consumption telling us?
by Petr Polak - 14-17 FX markets in the age of fintech
by Jaromir Tonner
2021
- tafs2020/6 Usability of capital buffers under a binding leverage ratio requirement
by Lukas Pfeifer - tafs2020/5 Interconnectedness and contagion in the Czech financial system
by Adam Kucera & Milan Szabo - 13-22 Modelling the impacts of climate change on the global economy: Stagflationary shock looming
by Martin Motl & Jaromir Tonner - 13-20 The recovery plan for Europe and its importance for the future of European integration
by Pavla Netusilova & Martin Kabrt - 13-20 The shortage of materials and components as a production-limiting and price-increasing factor
by Sona Benecka - 13-18 The end of the LIBOR era in financial markets: What lies ahead?
by Petr Polak - 13-18 A network of national AMCs - part of the solution to the legacy of the financial crisis and the coronavirus crisis?
by Lubos Komarek & Petr Polak - 13-17 Decentralised finance, its prospects and limits: Is blockchain interoperability the only obstacle?
by Alexis Derviz - 13-16 EU foreign trade during the pandemic crisis
by Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Jan Bruha - 12-21 Assessment of the impacts of the pandemic on the world's major economies: A crisis of supply or demand?
by Jan Bruha & Martin Motl & Jaromir Tonner - 12-20 After the BITs: The uncertain future of international investment governance
by Martin Kabrt - 12-18 Outlooks in the pandemic year 2020 - where are world economies heading?
by Filip Novotny & Petr Polak - 12-17 On a knife edge: Brexit and financial services
by Michaela Rysava - 12-17 How accurate are oil price forecasts?
by Jan Hosek
2020
- tafs2020/4 The household stress test
by Jiri Gregor & Hana Hejlova - tafs2020/3 The CNB's approach to releasing the countercyclical capital buffer
by Libor Holub & Tomas Konecny & Lukas Pfeifer & Vaclav Broz - tafs2020/2 Vulnerable growth: Bayesian GDP-at-Risk
by Milan Szabo & Zlatuse Komarkova & Martin Casta - tafs2020/1 The Relationship between Capital and Liquidity Prudential Instruments
by Zlatuse Komarkova & Martin Hodula & Lukas Pfeifer - 14-17 An alternative, satellite view of China
by Tomas Adam & Sona Benecka - 13-19 Mortgage loan regulation instruments around the world
by Petr Polak & Lubos Komarek - 12-24 Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the world economy
by Martin Motl - 12-20 Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO
by Filip Novotny - 12-19 The fiscal policy reaction to COVID-19, or the fast way out of the crisis
by Petr Polak & Lubos Komarek & Iveta Polaskova & Pavla Netusilova - 12-19 Regional disparities in selected EU countries
by Jan Babecky & Lubos Komarek - 12-18 Consumer and industrial prices in 2020 - the year of the coronavirus
by Petr Polak & Filip Novotny - 12-18 The fight between the Covid-19 pandemic and air transport has a clear winner so far: Are we facing a historical change?
by Michaela Rysava - 12-18 A tale of two crises: An early comparison of foreign trade and economic activity in EU countries
by Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Jan Bruha - 12-18 The coal market and its future
by Jan Hosek - 12-17 International goods trade at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic from the perspective of economic regions
by Ladislav Prokop - 12-16 Stablecoins - a gateway between conventional and crypto financial universes?
by Alexis Derviz
2019
- tafs2019/4 Minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL): General approach of the Czech National Bank
by Tomas Kahoun - tafs2019/3 Estimating the neutral Czech government bond yield curve
by Adam Kucera & Milan Szabo - tafs2019/2 The countercyclical capital buffer rate for covering the usual level of cyclical risks in the Czech Republic
by Miroslav Plasil - tafs2019/1 Assessing house price sustainability
by Miroslav Plasil & Michal Andrle - 15-22 International reserves as a mirror of external effects and macroeconomic policies
by Sona Benecka & Lubos Komarek - 13-21 Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO
by Filip Novotny - 13-19 The inverted yield curve in the USA: How much time is left until a recession?
by Martin Motl - 12-22 Macron's reforms: What has driven the yellow vest protesters to take to the streets?
by Pavla Ruzickova - 12-17 What changes in financial intermediation are to be expected from fintech?
by Alexis Derviz - 12-16 The economic slowdown in China and its impact on commodity markets
by Jan Hosek - 12-16 The automobile market slump in China: A global threat?
by Sona Benecka - 12-16 Current account modelling - long-term trends and cyclical factors
by Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Jan Bruha - 12-16 How heavy a fiscal burden are we carrying to interest rate base camp? The fiscal and monetary space in OECD countries
by Lubos Komarek - 12-16 Euro area industrial producer prices from the perspective of the oil price
by Sona Benecka - 12-16 Euro area inflation hit the inflation target, but is everyone running at same pace?
by Tomas Adam & Filip Novotny - 12-15 The boom in short-term accommodation
by Petr Polak
2018
- 148-156 Consumer credit in the Czech Republic: What does its current growth imply for financial stability?
by Vaclav Broz & Michal Hlavacek - 136-147 The effect of accommodative monetary policy on the risk weights applied by domestic banks
by Simona Malovana & Dominika Kolcunova & Vaclav Broz - 126-135 The introduction and calibration of macroprudential tools targeted at residential real estate exposures in the Czech Republic
by Hana Hejlova & Libor Holub & Miroslav Plasil
2017
- 125-134 Decomposition of the Czech government bond yield curve
by Adam Kucera & Michal Dvorak & Zlatuse Komarkova - 115-124 The bank lending survey
by Eva Hromadkova & Oldrich Koza & Petr Polak - 106-114 The countercyclical capital buffer in the Czech Republic
by Jan Hajek & Jan Frait & Miroslav Plasil
2016
- 137-148 The Role of the Leverage Ratio in Capital Regulation of the Banking Sector
by Lukas Pfeifer & Libor Holub & Zdenek Pikhart & Martin Hodula - 127-136 The Relationship between Liquidity Risk and Credit Risk in The CNB's Liquidity Stress Tests
by Zlatuse Komarkova & Marek Rusnak & Hana Hejlova - 116-126 Could the Czech Insurance Sector Be a Source of Systemic Risk?
by Michal Dvorak & Marcela Gronychova & Vaclav Hausenblas & Zlatuse Komarkova
2015
- 146-154 Collateral and the Role of International Merchant Banks in the Spread of Aggregate Risks
by Alexis Derviz & Libor Holub - 139-145 Use of the Czech Central Credit Register for Financial Stability Purposes
by Tomas Konecny & Miroslav Plasil & Marek Rusnak & Pavel Rezabek - 131-138 Credit Portfolio Sector Concentration and Its Implications for Capital Requirements
by Libor Holub & Michal Nyklicek & Pavel Sedlar - 121-130 A Comprehensive Method for House Price Sustainability Assessment
by Michal Hlavacek & Hana Hejlova - 110-120 The Interaction of Monetary and Macroprudential Policies in the Pursuit of the Central Bank's Primary Objectives
by Jan Frait & Simona Malovana & Vladimir Tomsik
2014
- 148-155 Office Property in Central European Countries
by Michal Hlavacek & Ondrej Novotny & Marek Rusnak - 137-147 Collateralization and Financial Stability
by Vilma Dingova & Vaclav Hausenblas & Zlatuse Komarkova - 128-136 Concurrent Capital Buffers in a Banking Group
by Michal Skorepa - 118-127 An Indicator of the Financial Cycle in the Czech Economy
by Miroslav Plasil & Jakub Seidler & Petr Hlavac & Tomas Konecny
2013
- 128-136 Modelling bank loans to non-financial corporations
by Miroslav Plasil & Stepan Radkovsky & Pavel Rezabek - 120-127 Impacts of housing prices on the financial position of households
by Jan Bruha & Michal Hlavacek & Lubos Komarek - 113-119 Household stress tests using microdata
by Petr Hlavac & Petr Jakubik & Kamil Galuscak - 103-112 Fiscal sustainability and financial stability
by Zlatuse Komarkova & Vilma Dingova & Lubos Komarek - 96-102 An Additional capital requirements based on the domestic systemic importance of a bank
by Michal Skorepa & Jakub Seidler
2012
- 129-139 Contingent Claims Analysis And The Inter-Sector Transmission Of Credit Risk
by Miroslav Plasil & Ivana Kubicova - 118-128 Impacts Of The Sovereign Default Crisis On The Czech Financial Sector
by Kamil Janacek & Zlatuse Komarkova & Michal Hlavacek & Lubos Komarek - 112-117 Early Warning Indicators of Economic Crises
by Jan Babecky & Tomas Havranek & Jakub Mateju & Marek Rusnak & Katerina Smidkova & Borek Vasicek - 100-111 How To Identify Systemically Important Financial Institutions
by Zlatuse Komarkova & Vaclav Hausenblas & Jan Frait
2011
- 133-140 Retail Credit Premiums and Macroeconomic Developments
by Jan Bruha - 123-132 An Analysis of Progress with the Sale of Residential Developments
by Michal Hlavacek & Zita Prostejovska & Lubos Komarek - 112-122 Excessive Credit Growth as an Indicator of Financial (In)Stability and its Use in Macroprudential Policy
by Adam Gersl & Jakub Seidler - 96-111 Financial Stability, Systemic Risk and Macroprudential Policy
by Jan Frait & Zlatuse Komarkova
2010
- 120-129 Regulation of Alternative Funds in the Czech Republic in the Context of the Debate on their Potential Regulation in the European Union
by Vit Ossendorf & Adam Jekl - 110-119 Procyclicality of the Financial System and Simulation of the Feedback Effect
by Adam Gersl & Petr Jakubik - 102-109 Financial Integration at Times of Financial (In)Stability
by Jan Babecky & Lubos Komarek & Zlatuse Komarkova - 92-101 Stress Test Verification as Part of an Advanced Stress-Testing Framework
by Adam Gersl & Jakub Seidler
2009
- 102-109 Estimating Expected Loss Given Default
by Petr Jakubik & Jakub Seidler - 92-101 Models of Bank Financing of Czech Corporations and Credit Risk
by Adam Gersl & Petr Jakubik - 82-91 Property Price Determinants in the Czech Regions
by Michal Hlavacek & Lubos Komarek - 72-81 Instruments for Curbing Fluctuations in Lending over the Business Cycle
by Jan Frait & Zlatuse Komarkova
2008
- 131-142 Reasons of Undershooting the Inflation Target in the Czech Republic: The Role of Inflation Expectations
by Roman Horvath edited by Katerina Smidkova - 117-130 Asymmetric Monetary Policy in the Czech Republic?
by Roman Horvath edited by Katerina Smidkova - 102-116 The History of Inflation Targeting in the Czech Republic through Optic of a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model
by Jarek Hurnik & Ondra Kamenik & Jan Vlcek edited by Katerina Smidkova - 94-104 Operational Risk and its Impacts on Financial Stability
by Vera Mazankova & Michal Nemec - 86-101 Evaluation of the Quality and Success Rate of Forecasts: A Historic Overview
by Zuzana Antonicova & Karel Musil & Lubos Ruzicka & Jan Vlcek edited by Katerina Smidkova - 86-93 Competition and Efficiency in the Czech Banking Sector
by Anca Podpiera - 77-85 Inflation Forecasts Errors in the Czech Republic: Evidence from a Panel of Institutions
by Jan Babecky & Jiri Podpiera edited by Katerina Smidkova - 76-85 Scoring as an Indicator of Financial Stability
by Petr Jakubik & Petr Teply - 65-75 The Role of Ratings in Financial Sector Stability Assessment
by Petra Davidova & Renata Opravilova - 57-76 Prediction Bias and Undershooting of the Inflation Target
by Juraj Antal & Michal Hlavacek & Roman Horvath edited by Katerina Smidkova - 47-56 Causes of Deviations of Inflation from CNB Targets: An Empirical Analysis
by Tomas Holub edited by Katerina Smidkova - 35-46 A Simple, Model-Independent Analysis of Reasons for Non-Fulfillment of the Declared Inflation Target
by Michal Skorepa edited by Katerina Smidkova - 18-34 Basic Characteristics of Inflation Targeting in the Czech Republic
by Juraj Antal & Michal Hlavacek & Tomas Holub edited by Katerina Smidkova - 10-17 Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets
by Katerina Smidkova edited by Katerina Smidkova
2007
- 89-98 Takeover Bids and Capital Market Efficiency
by Jan Hajek & Miroslava Jindrova - 80-88 Foreign Direct Investment and the Czech Corporate Sector: Potential Risks to Financial Stability
by Adam Gersl & Michal Hlavacek - 69-79 Financial Stability Indicators: Advantages and Disadvantages of their Use in the Assessment of Financial System Stability
by Adam Gersl & Jaroslav Hermanek - 57-68 Credit Risk and Stress Testing of the Banking Sector of the Czech Republic
by Petr Jakubik & Jaroslav Hermanek
2006
- 102-105 Deteriorating Cost Efficiency in a Bank Signals the Risk of Failure
by Anca Podpiera & Jiri Podpiera - 93-101 The Impact of Insolvency Law on Financial Stability
by Tomas Rydl - 84-92 Macroeconomic Credit Risk Model
by Petr Jakubik - 73-83 Summary of the Results of Stress Tests in Banks
by Jaroslav Hermanek & Martin Cihak