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Global Crises and Gold as a Safe Haven: Evidence from Over Seven and a Half Centuries of Data
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- Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
- Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Karmakar, Sayar & Das, Sonali, 2022.
"Forecasting output growth of advanced economies over eight centuries: The role of gold market volatility as a proxy of global uncertainty,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2021_017, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Sonali Das, 2021. "Forecasting Output Growth of Advanced Economies Over Eight Centuries: The Role of Gold Market Volatility as a Proxy of Global Uncertainty," Working Papers 202133, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Guo, Changrong & Zhang, Xiangyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna, 2024. "Asymmetrical connectedness between infectious diseases-related equity market volatility and prices of precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021.
"Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, December.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024.
"Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 487-513, July.
- Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023.
"Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data,"
The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Tail Risks and Forecastability of Stock Returns of Advanced Economies: Evidence from Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202117, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Karmakar, Sayar & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan & Rognone, Lavinia, 2023.
"Climate risks and predictability of the trading volume of gold: Evidence from an INGARCH model,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Sayar Karmakar & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Lavinia Rognone, 2022. "Climate Risks and Predictability of the Trading Volume of Gold: Evidence from an INGARCH Model," Working Papers 202241, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021.
"A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-12, October.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022.
"Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of the Realized Volatility of Gold and Other Metal Prices," Working Papers 202172, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bentes, Sónia R., 2023. "Is gold a safe haven for the CIVETS countries under extremely adverse market conditions? Some new evidence from the MF-DCCA analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 623(C).
- Yang, Cai & Wang, Xinyi & Gao, Wang, 2022. "Is Bitcoin a better hedging and safe-haven investment than traditional assets against currencies? Evidence from the time-frequency domain approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Walid Mensi & Debasish Maitra & Refk Selmi & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2023. "Extreme dependencies and spillovers between gold and stock markets: evidence from MENA countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.
- Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Boubaker, Sabri & Lucey, Brian M. & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2021. "Is gold a hedge or a safe-haven asset in the COVID–19 crisis?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Echaust, Krzysztof & Just, Małgorzata & Kliber, Agata, 2024. "To hedge or not to hedge? Cryptocurrencies, gold and oil against stock market risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022.
"Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & David Gabauer, 2021. "Forecasting Stock-Market Tail Risk and Connectedness in Advanced Economies Over a Century: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Working Papers 202161, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Bouri, Elie, 2022.
"The (Asymmetric) effect of El Niño and La Niña on gold and silver prices in a GVAR model,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Elie Bouri, 2021. "The (Asymmetric) Effect of El Nino and La Nina on Gold and Silver Prices in a GVAR Model," Working Papers 202132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021.
"Assessing the safe haven property of the gold market during COVID-19 pandemic,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Salisu, Afees & Raheem, Ibrahim & Vo, Xuan, 2021. "Assessing the safe haven property of the gold market during COVID-19 pandemic," MPRA Paper 105353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ye, Chuxin & Lv, Jiamin & Xue, Yinsong & Luo, Xingguo, 2023. "Intraday volatility predictability in china gold futures market: The case of last half-hour realized volatility forecasting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
- Kaczmarek, Tomasz & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Grobelny, Przemysław & Perez, Katarzyna, 2022. "False Safe Haven Assets: Evidence From the Target Volatility Strategy Based on Recurrent Neural Network," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Juncal Cunado & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2022. "On the Propagation Mechanism of International Real Interest Rate Spillovers: Evidence from More than 200 Years of Data," Working Papers 202212, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2023. "Conditional out-of-sample predictability of aggregate equity returns and aggregate equity return volatility using economic variables," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 91-122.
- Noman, Abu Hanifa Md & Karim, Muhammad Mahmudul & Hassan, Mohammad Kabir & Khan, Muhammad Asif & Pervin, Sajeda, 2023. "COVID-19 pandemic and the dynamics of major investable assets: What gives shelter to investors?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 14-30.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022.
"Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Rare Disaster Risks and Gold over 700 Years: Evidence from Nonparametric Quantile Regressions," Working Papers 202231, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Ahmed, Maruf Yakubu & Sarkodie, Samuel Asumadu, 2021. "COVID-19 pandemic and economic policy uncertainty regimes affect commodity market volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Sato, Ayano & Nakata, Hayato & Percy, Jay, 2024. "Time-variant safe haven currencies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 316-328.
- Su, Chi-Wei & Pang, Lidong & Umar, Muhammad & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia, 2022. "Does gold's hedging uncertainty aura fade away?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Chi-Wei Su & Lidong Pang & Muhammad Umar & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ, 2022. "Will Gold Always Shine amid World Uncertainty?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(12), pages 3425-3438, September.
- Echaust, Krzysztof & Just, Małgorzata, 2022. "Is gold still a safe haven for stock markets? New insights through the tail thickness of portfolio return distributions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Hassan, M. Kabir & Kamran, Muhammad & Djajadikerta, Hadrian Geri & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2022. "Search for safe havens and resilience to global financial volatility: Response of GCC equity indexes to GFC and Covid-19," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).