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Uncertainty Business Cycles - Really?
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- Tian, Can, 2011. "Technology choice and endogenous productivity dispersion over the business cycles," MPRA Paper 34480, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Nov 2011.
- Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2015.
"Measuring Uncertainty,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(3), pages 1177-1216, March.
- Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2013. "Measuring Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 19456, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ekaterina Pirozhkova, 2017. "Banks' balance sheet, uncertainty and macroeconomy," EcoMod2017 10430, EcoMod.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2017. "The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1052-1064.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Joëts, Marc & Mignon, Valérie & Razafindrabe, Tovonony, 2017.
"Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 313-326.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Working Papers hal-04141423, HAL.
- Tovonony Razafindrabe & Valérie Mignon & Marc Joëts, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflects macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01667080, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01411696, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01386096, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2017. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print halshs-01683788, HAL.
- M. Joëts & V. Mignon & T. Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty ?," Working papers 607, Banque de France.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-7, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Working Papers 2015-02, CEPII research center.
- Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe & Marc Joëts, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflects macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01667085, HAL.
- Emmanuel De Veirman & Andrew Levin, 2018.
"Cyclical Changes in Firm Volatility,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2-3), pages 317-349, March.
- Emmanuel De Veirman & Andrew Levin, 2011. "Cyclical changes in firm volatility," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2011/06, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Emmanuel De Veirman & Andrew T. Levin, 2011. "Cyclical Changes in Firm Volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2011-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Emmanuel De Veirman & Andrew Levin, 2014. "Cyclical changes in firm volatility," Working Papers 408, DNB.
- Santiago Acosta-Ormaechea & Atsuyoshi Morozumi, 2012. "Idiosyncratic Uncertainty, Asymmetric Information, and Private Credit," Discussion Papers 12/12, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
- Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2020.
"Forecasting equity premium in a panel of OECD countries: The role of economic policy uncertainty,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-248.
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen, 2015.
"Firm optimism and pessimism,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 297-325.
- Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner, 2013. "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," CESifo Working Paper Series 4176, CESifo.
- Rüdiger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner, 2013. "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," NBER Working Papers 18989, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Steffen Elstner & Ruediger Bachmann, 2013. "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," 2013 Meeting Papers 623, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta†Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2018.
"Really Uncertain Business Cycles,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(3), pages 1031-1065, May.
- Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta-Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2012. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 18245, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta-Eksten & Stephen Terry, 2013. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," CEP Discussion Papers dp1195, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Bloom, Nicholas & Floetotto, Max & Jaimovich, Nir & Saporta-Eksten, Itay & Terry, Stephen, 2013. "Really uncertain business cycles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 51526, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Nicholas Bloom & Max Floetotto & Nir Jaimovich & Itay Saporta-Eksten & Stephen J. Terry, 2014. "Really Uncertain Business Cycles," Working Papers 14-18, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2016. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Born, Benjamin & Pfeifer, Johannes, 2014.
"Policy risk and the business cycle,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 68-85.
- Born, Benjamin & Peifer, Johannes, 2011. "Policy Risk and the Business Cycle," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 06/2011, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
- Benjamin Born & Johannes Pfeifer, 2013. "Policy Risk and the Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 4336, CESifo.
- Kang, Wensheng & Lee, Kiseok & Ratti, Ronald A., 2014.
"Economic policy uncertainty and firm-level investment,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 42-53.
- Kang, Wensheng & Lee, Kiseok & Ratti, Ronald A., 2013. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Firm-Level Investment," MPRA Paper 51277, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Fendoğlu, Salih, 2014.
"Optimal monetary policy rules, financial amplification, and uncertain business cycles,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 271-305.
- Salih Fendoglu, 2011. "Optimal Monetary Policy Rules, Financial Amplification, and Uncertain Business Cycles," Working Papers 1126, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Bonciani, Dario & Roye, Björn van, 2016.
"Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 200-219.
- Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions, and economic activity," Kiel Working Papers 1843, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2015. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity," Working Paper Series 1825, European Central Bank.
- Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2019.
"The impact of US uncertainty on the Euro area in good and bad times: evidence from a quantile structural vector autoregressive model,"
Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 46(2), pages 353-368, May.
- Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Julio Blanco & Isaac Baley, 2013. "Learning to Price," 2013 Meeting Papers 663, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Joseph Vavra, 2011.
"Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Uncertainty: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation,"
2011 Meeting Papers
126, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Joseph S. Vavra, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation," NBER Working Papers 19148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- V. V. Chari, 2012. "A Macroeconomist's Wish List of Financial Data," NBER Chapters, in: Risk Topography: Systemic Risk and Macro Modeling, pages 215-232, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Angus Moore, 2017.
"Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects,"
The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(303), pages 550-575, December.
- Angus Moore, 2016. "Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2016-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020.
"Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
- Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Working Papers 201732, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Lütticke, Ralph & Bayer, Christian & Pham, Lien & Tjaden, Volker, 2013.
"Household Income Risk, Nominal Frictions, and Incomplete Markets,"
VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order
79868, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Volker Tjaden & Ralph Lütticke & Lien Pham & Christian Bayer, 2013. "Household Income Risk, Nominal Frictions, and Incomplete Markets," 2013 Meeting Papers 1270, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Gisle James Natvik & Sergio Sola, 2013. "Economic uncertainty and the effectiveness of monetary policy," Working Paper 2013/17, Norges Bank.
- Steffen R. Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2017.
"Dimensions Of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(2), pages 843-877, April.
- Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2013. "Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: A common factor analysis," ifo Working Paper Series 167, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2014. "Dimensions of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 4991, CESifo.
- Henzel, Steffen R. & Rengel, Malte, 2017. "Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: a common factor analysis," Munich Reprints in Economics 49932, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Shujaat Khan & Edward S. Knotek, 2011. "How do households respond to uncertainty shocks?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 96(Q II).
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2020.
"A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters,"
Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 611-641, August.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2017. "A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Working Papers 15-32, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Baker, Scott R. & Bloom, Nicholas, 2013.
"Does uncertainty reduce growth? Using disasters as natural experiments,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
121906, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments," NBER Working Papers 19475, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments," CEP Discussion Papers dp1243, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Panagiotis E. Petrakis & Dionysis G. Valsamis & Pantelis C. Kostis, 2014. "Uncertainty Shocks in Eurozone Periphery Countries and Germany," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 8(2), pages 87-106, December.
- Miss Stephanie Denis & Mr. Prakash Kannan, 2013. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the UK Economy," IMF Working Papers 2013/066, International Monetary Fund.
- David Berger & Joseph S. Vavra, 2013.
"Volatility and Pass-through,"
NBER Working Papers
19651, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Joseph Vavra & David Berger, 2013. "Pass-through Across Products and Time," 2013 Meeting Papers 452, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Can Tian, 2012. "Riskiness Choice and Endogenous Productivity Dispersion over the Business Cycle," PIER Working Paper Archive 12-025, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Anh Nguyen, 2015. "Financial frictions and the volatility of monetary policy in a DSGE model," Working Papers 75949436, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Joseph Vavra, 2014.
"Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 129(1), pages 215-258.
- Joseph S. Vavra, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation," NBER Working Papers 19148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Šustek, Roman, 2011. "Plant-level nonconvex output adjustment and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(4), pages 400-414.
- Albert, Juan-Francisco & Gómez Fernández, Nerea, 2018. "The impact of uncertainty shocks in Spain: SVAR approach with sign restrictions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90402, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.