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The Bond Yield "Conundrum" from a Macro-Finance Perspective
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Cited by:
- Taboga, Marco, 2007. "Structural change and the bond yield conundrum," MPRA Paper 4965, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Moreno, Antonio, 2012.
"Uncovering the US term premium: An alternative route,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1181-1193.
- Luis Gil-Alana & Antonio Moreno, 2007. "Uncovering the U.S. Term Premium: An Alternative Route," Faculty Working Papers 12/07, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Hibiki Ichiue & Yoichi Ueno, 2007. "Equilibrium Interest Rate and the Yield Curve in a Low Interest Rate Environment," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 07-E-18, Bank of Japan.
- Rudebusch, Glenn D. & Swanson, Eric T., 2008.
"Examining the bond premium puzzle with a DSGE model,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(Supplemen), pages 111-126, October.
- Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson, 2008. "Examining the bond premium puzzle with a DSGE model," Working Paper Series 2007-25, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2009.
"On the Need for a New Approach to Analyzing Monetary Policy,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, Volume 23, pages 389-425,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2008. "On the Need for a New Approach to Analyzing Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 14260, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2008. "On the need for a new approach to analyzing monetary policy," Working Papers 662, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2008. "On the need for a new approach to analyzing monetary policy," Staff Report 412, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Harm Bandholz & Jorg Clostermann & Franz Seitz, 2009.
"Explaining the US bond yield conundrum,"
Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7), pages 539-550.
- Bandholz, Harm & Clostermann, Jörg & Seitz, Franz, 2007. "Explaining the US bond yield conundrum," Weidener Diskussionspapiere 2, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH).
- Bandholz, Harm & Clostermann, Joerg & Seitz, Franz, 2007. "Explaining the US Bond Yield Conundrum," MPRA Paper 2386, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Menzie Chinn & Kavan Kucko, 2015.
"The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve Across Countries and Time,"
International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(2), pages 129-156, June.
- Menzie D. Chinn & Kavan J. Kucko, 2010. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time," NBER Working Papers 16398, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Martin Kliem & Alexander Meyer‐Gohde, 2022.
"(Un)expected monetary policy shocks and term premia,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 477-499, April.
- Kliem, Martin & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2017. "(Un)expected monetary policy shocks and term premia," Discussion Papers 30/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Kliem, Martin & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2017. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-015, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Martin Kliem & Alexander Meyer-Gohde, 2018. "(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia," 2018 Meeting Papers 102, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Kliem, Martin & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2019. "(Un)expected monetary policy shocks and term premia," IMFS Working Paper Series 137, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Paolo Angelini & Sergio Nicoletti-Altimari & Ignazio Visco, 2012. "Macroprudential, microprudential and monetary policies: conflicts, complementarities and trade-offs," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 140, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J. & Raes, L.B.D., 2010.
"The Bond Yield Conundrum : Alternative Hypotheses and the State of the Economy,"
Other publications TiSEM
b44feba5-acd3-43b8-969e-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J. & Raes, L.B.D., 2010. "The Bond Yield Conundrum : Alternative Hypotheses and the State of the Economy," Discussion Paper 2010-121, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J. & Raes, L.B.D., 2010. "The Bond Yield Conundrum : Alternative Hypotheses and the State of the Economy," Other publications TiSEM 8b320ebf-1447-46c9-82e3-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Eijffinger, Sylvester & Mahieu, Ronald & Raes, Louis, 2010. "The bond yield conundrum: alternative hypotheses and the state of the economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 8063, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anna Florio, 2016.
"The central bank as shaper and observer of events: The case of the yield spread,"
Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 49(1), pages 320-346, February.
- Anna Florio, 2016. "The central bank as shaper and observer of events: The case of the yield spread," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(1), pages 320-346, February.
- Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2015. "Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness: A Network Approach to Measurement and Monitoring," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199338306.
- Felix Geiger, 2009. "International Interest-Rate Risk Premia in Affine Term Structure Models," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 316/2009, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
- Serkan Arslanalp & Tigran Poghosyan, 2016.
"Foreign Investor Flows and Sovereign Bond Yields in Advanced Economies,"
Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(6), pages 45-67, June.
- Mr. Serkan Arslanalp & Mr. Tigran Poghosyan, 2014. "Foreign Investor Flows and Sovereign Bond Yields in Advanced Economies," IMF Working Papers 2014/027, International Monetary Fund.
- Mehmet Pasaogullari & Simeon Tsonevy, 2011. "The term structure of inflation compensation in the nominal yield curve," Working Papers (Old Series) 1133, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Weißbach, Rafael & Ponyatovskyy, Vladyslav & Zimmermann, Guido, 2006. "The Yield of Ten-Year T-Bonds: Stumbling Towards a 'Good' Forecast," Technical Reports 2006,50, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
- Daniel L. Thornton, 2018.
"Greenspan's Conundrum and the Fed's Ability to Affect Long‐Term Yields,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2-3), pages 513-543, March.
- Daniel L. Thornton, 2012. "Greenspan’s conundrum and the Fed’s ability to affect long-term yields," Working Papers 2012-036, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Mansur, Alfan & Al Arif, Munafsin, 2017. "Dampak Kepemilikan Asing terhadap Pasar Surat Berharga Negara (SBN) Indonesia [The Impact of Foreign Ownership on the Indonesian Government Bonds Market]," MPRA Paper 93944, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jun 2017.
- Taboga, Marco, 2009.
"Macro-finance VARs and bond risk premia: A caveat,"
Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 163-171, October.
- Marco Taboga, 2009. "Macro‐finance VARs and bond risk premia: A caveat," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(4), pages 163-171, October.
- Taboga, Marco, 2008. "Macro-finance VARs and bond risk premia: a caveat," MPRA Paper 11585, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Glenn D. Rudebusch & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2007.
"Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium,"
Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 89(Jul), pages 241-270.
- Glenn D. Rudebusch & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "Macroeconomic implications of changes in the term premium," Working Paper Series 2006-46, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Catherine L. Mann & Oren Klachkin, 2014. "U.S. Treasury Auction Yields Before and During Quantitative Easing: Market Factors vs.Auction Specific Factors," Working Papers 67, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Leo Krippner, 2009.
"A theoretical foundation for the Nelson and Siegel class of yield curve models,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2009/10, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Leo Krippner, 2012. "A theoretical foundation for the Nelson and Siegel class of yield curve models," CAMA Working Papers 2012-11, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- de Roode, F.A., 2014. "Model uncertainty in financial markets : Long run risk and parameter uncertainty," Other publications TiSEM c425daf8-c7a3-4ea4-8b18-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Bernanke, B.S., 2011.
"International capital flows and the returns to safe assets in the United States 2003-2007,"
Financial Stability Review, Banque de France, issue 15, pages 13-26, February.
- Ben S. Bernanke & Carol C. Bertaut & Steven B. Kamin & Laurie Pounder DeMarco, 2011. "International capital flows and the returns to safe assets in the United States, 2003-2007," International Finance Discussion Papers 1014, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ioannidis, Christos & Ka, Kook, 2018. "The impact of oil price shocks on the term structure of interest rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 601-620.
- Andrew Hughes Hallett & Ansgar Rannenberg & Sven Schreiber, 2017. "Reassessing the Impact of the US Fiscal Stimulus: The Role of the Monetary Policy Stance," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(4), pages 12-31, April.
- Iryna Kaminska & Gabriele Zinna, 2014. "Official Demand for U.S. Debt: Implications for U.S. Real Interest Rates," IMF Working Papers 2014/066, International Monetary Fund.
- David K. Backus & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007.
"Cracking the Conundrum,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 38(1), pages 293-329.
- David K. Backus & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007. "Cracking the Conundrum," NBER Working Papers 13419, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- David K. Backus & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007. "Cracking the Conundrum," Working Papers 07-21, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- David K. Backus & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007. "Cracking the conundrum," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-46, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2010.
"Macro‐Finance Models Of Interest Rates And The Economy,"
Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 78(s1), pages 25-52, September.
- Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2010. "Macro-finance models of interest rates and the economy," Working Paper Series 2010-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Gregory Bauer & Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2012. "An International Dynamic Term Structure Model with Economic Restrictions and Unspanned Risks," Staff Working Papers 12-5, Bank of Canada.
- Lange, Ronald H., 2017. "The expected real yield and inflation components of the nominal yield curve," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 1-18.
- Joseph P Byrne & Giorgio Fazio & Norbert Fiess, 2010. "Domestic vs. International Correlations of Interest Rate Maturities," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(2), pages 1082-1090.
- Hamilton, James D. & Wu, Jing Cynthia, 2014.
"Testable implications of affine term structure models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 231-242.
- James D. Hamilton & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2011. "Testable Implications of Affine Term Structure Models," NBER Working Papers 16931, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Iryna Kaminska & Dimitri Vayanos & Gabriele Zinna, 2011.
"Preferred-Habitat Investors and the US Term Structure of Real Rates,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp674, Financial Markets Group.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Vayanos, Dimitri & Zinna, Gabriele, 2011. "Preferred-habitat investors and the US term structure of real rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119074, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Vayanos, Dimitri & Zinna, Gabriele, 2011. "Preferred-habitat investors and the US term structure of real rates," Bank of England working papers 435, Bank of England.
- Christensen, Jens H.E. & Diebold, Francis X. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 2011.
"The affine arbitrage-free class of Nelson-Siegel term structure models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 4-20, September.
- Jens H. E. Christensen & Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2007. "The affine arbitrage-free class of Nelson-Siegel term structure models," Working Paper Series 2007-20, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Jens H. E. Christensen & Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2007. "The Affine Arbitrage-Free Class of: Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models," NBER Working Papers 13611, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jens H. E. Christensen & Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2007. "The Affine Arbitrage-Free Class of Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models," PIER Working Paper Archive 07-029, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Moench, Emanuel, 2008.
"Forecasting the yield curve in a data-rich environment: A no-arbitrage factor-augmented VAR approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 26-43, September.
- Mönch, Emanuel, 2005. "Forecasting the yield curve in a data-rich environment: a no-arbitrage factor-augmented VAR approach," Working Paper Series 544, European Central Bank.
- Junko Koeda & Ryo Kato, 2010. "The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty in the Term Structure of Interest Rates," IMES Discussion Paper Series 10-E-24, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Hasan Cömert, 2012. "Decoupling between the Federal Funds Rate and Long-term Interest Rates: Decreasing Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the U.S," Working Papers wp295, Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts at Amherst.
- Goda, Thomas & Lysandrou, Photis & Stewart, Chris, 2013.
"The contribution of US bond demand to the US bond yield conundrum of 2004–2007: An empirical investigation,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 113-136.
- Thomas Goda & Photis Lysandrou & Chris Stewart, 2011. "The contribution of us bond demand to the us bond yield conundrum of 2004 to 2007: an empirical investigation," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10719, Universidad EAFIT.
- Refet S. Gürkaynak & Jonathan H. Wright, 2012.
"Macroeconomics and the Term Structure,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 331-367, June.
- Wright, Jonathan & Gürkaynak, Refet, 2010. "Macroeconomics and the Term Structure," CEPR Discussion Papers 8018, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Liuren Wu & Frank Xiaoling Zhang, 2008. "A No-Arbitrage Analysis of Macroeconomic Determinants of the Credit Spread Term Structure," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(6), pages 1160-1175, June.
- Dong He & Robert N. McCauley, 2010.
"Offshore Markets for the Domestic Currency: Monetary and Financial Stability Issues,"
Working Papers
1002, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
- Dong He & Robert McCauley, 2010. "Offshore markets for the domestic currency: monetary and financial stability issues," BIS Working Papers 320, Bank for International Settlements.
- Iryna Kaminska, 2013.
"A No-Arbitrage Structural Vector Autoregressive Model of the UK Yield Curve,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(5), pages 680-704, October.
- Kaminska, Iryna, 2008. "A no-arbitrage structural vector autoregressive model of the UK yield curve," Bank of England working papers 357, Bank of England.
- Mr. Emil Stavrev & Mr. Thomas Harjes & Mr. Martin Cihak, 2009. "Euro Area Monetary Policy in Uncharted Waters," IMF Working Papers 2009/185, International Monetary Fund.
- Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2006.
"Monetary Policy Inertia: Fact or Fiction?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(4), December.
- Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2005. "Monetary policy inertia: fact or fiction?," Working Paper Series 2005-19, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Yunus Aksoy & Henrique S. Basso, 2014.
"Securitization and Asset Prices,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
1411, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Yunus Aksoy & Henrique S. Basso, 2015. "Securitization and asset prices," Working Papers 1526, Banco de España.
- Yunus Aksoy & Henrique S. Basso, 2015. "Securitization and Asset Prices," CESifo Working Paper Series 5213, CESifo.
- Catherine Mann & Oren Klachkin, 2015. "Has Quantitative Easing Affected the U.S. Treasury Auction Market?," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 43(1), pages 135-146, March.
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5221 is not listed on IDEAS
- Daniel L. Thornton, 2008. "The unusual behavior of the federal funds and 10-year Treasury rates: a conundrum or Goodhart’s Law?," Working Papers 2007-039, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Kavita Sirichand & Simeon Coleman, 2015.
"International yield curve comovements: impact of the recent financial crisis,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(43), pages 4561-4573, September.
- Simeon Coleman & Kavita Sirichand, 2014. "International yield curve comovements: impact of the recent financial crisis," Discussion Paper Series 2014_07, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Jul 2014.
- Hamilton, James D. & Wu, Jing Cynthia, 2012.
"Identification and estimation of Gaussian affine term structure models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(2), pages 315-331.
- James D. Hamilton & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2012. "Identification and Estimation of Gaussian Affine Term Structure Models," NBER Working Papers 17772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jardet, Caroline & Monfort, Alain & Pegoraro, Fulvio, 2013.
"No-arbitrage Near-Cointegrated VAR(p) term structure models, term premia and GDP growth,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 389-402.
- Jardet, C. & Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F., 2009. "No-arbitrage Near-Cointegrated VAR(p) Term Structure Models, Term Premia and GDP Growth," Working papers 234, Banque de France.
- Caroline JARDET & Alain MONFORT & Fulvio PEGORARO, 2011. "No-arbitrage Near-Cointegrated VAR(p) Term Structure Models, Term Premia and GDP Growth," Working Papers 2011-03, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Troy Davig & Jeffrey R. Gerlach, 2006. "State-Dependent Stock Market Reactions to Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 2(4), December.
- Samuel Maurer & Joshua V. Rosenberg, 2008. "Signal or noise? Implications of the term premium for recession forecasting," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 14(Jul), pages 1-11.
- Bertaut, Carol & DeMarco, Laurie Pounder & Kamin, Steven & Tryon, Ralph, 2012. "ABS inflows to the United States and the global financial crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 219-234.
- Saar, Dan & Yagil, Yossi, 2015. "Forecasting growth and stock performance using government and corporate yield curves: Evidence from the European and Asian markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 27-41.
- Junko Koeda & Ryo Kato, 2010.
"The Role of Uncertainty in the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Macro-Finance Perspective,"
CARF F-Series
CARF-F-207, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Junko Koeda & Ryo Kato, 2010. "The Role of Uncertainty in the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Macro-Finance Perspective," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-724, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Joslin, Scott & Konchitchki, Yaniv, 2018. "Interest rate volatility, the yield curve, and the macroeconomy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 344-362.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5221 is not listed on IDEAS
- Lange, Ronald H., 2015. "International long-term yields and monetary policy in a small open economy: The case of Canada," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 292-310.
- Carol Bertaut & Laurie Pounder DeMarco & Steven B. Kamin & Ralph W. Tryon, 2011. "ABS Inflows to the United States and the Global Financial Crisis," NBER Working Papers 17350, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Carol C. Bertaut & Steven B. Kamin & Laurie Pounder DeMarco & Ralph W. Tryon, 2011. "ABS inflows to the United States and the global financial crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 1028, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).