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Volatility forecasting and microstructure noise
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Cited by:
- Georgiana-Denisa Banulescu & Bertrand Candelon & Christophe Hurlin & Sébastien Laurent, 2014. "Do We Need Ultra-High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?," Working Papers halshs-01078158, HAL.
- Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019.
"Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Realized Gold Volatility," Working Papers 201881, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Yen-Ju Hsu & Yang-Cheng Lu & J. Jimmy Yang, 2021. "News sentiment and stock market volatility," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1093-1122, October.
- Christos Floros & Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Athanasios Tsagkanos, 2020. "Realized Measures to Explain Volatility Changes over Time," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, June.
- Bu, Ruijun & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan & Murphy, Anthony & Tsionas, Mike, 2023.
"The contribution of jump signs and activity to forecasting stock price volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
- , 2019. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 1902, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Dec 2022.
- Ruijun Bu & Rodrigo Hizmeri & Marwan Izzeldin & Anthony Murphy & Mike G. Tsionas, 2021. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 202109, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2016.
"Exploiting the errors: A simple approach for improved volatility forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 1-18.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Rogier Quaedvlieg, 2015. "Exploiting the Errors: A Simple Approach for Improved Volatility Forecasting," CREATES Research Papers 2015-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2017. "Forecasting realized volatility: HAR against Principal Components Combining, neural networks and GARCH," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 824-839.
- Liu, Lily Y. & Patton, Andrew J. & Sheppard, Kevin, 2015.
"Does anything beat 5-minute RV? A comparison of realized measures across multiple asset classes,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 293-311.
- Kevin Sheppard & Lily Liu & Andrew J. Patton, 2013. "Does Anything Beat 5-Minute RV? A Comparison of Realized Measures Across Multiple Asset Classes," Economics Series Working Papers 645, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Mykland, Per Aslak, 2019. "Combining statistical intervals and market prices: The worst case state price distribution," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 272-285.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016.
"Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?,"
Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 135-174.
- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016. "Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?," Post-Print hal-01448237, HAL.
- Fang, Tong & Lee, Tae-Hwy & Su, Zhi, 2020.
"Predicting the long-term stock market volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS model with variable selection,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 36-49.
- Tong Fang & Tae-Hwy Lee & Zhi Su, 2020. "Predicting the Long-term Stock Market Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Model with Variable Selection," Working Papers 202009, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur & Fryzlewicz, Piotr & Rheinländer, Thorsten, 2015. "Relative liquidity and future volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 25-48.
- Tim Bollerslev & Benjamin Hood & John Huss & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2018.
"Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(7), pages 2729-2773.
- Pedersen, Lasse Heje & Bollerslev, Tim & Hood, Benjamin & Huss, John, 2018. "Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 12687, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Shirota, Shinichiro & Hizu, Takayuki & Omori, Yasuhiro, 2014.
"Realized stochastic volatility with leverage and long memory,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 618-641.
- Shinichiro Shirota & Takayuki Hizu & Yasuhiro Omori, 2012. "Realized stochastic volatility with leverage and long memory," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-869, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Shinichiro Shirota & Takayuki Hizu & Yasuhiro Omori, 2013. "Realized Stochastic Volatility with Leverage and Long Memory," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-880, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Thomas Dimpfl & Stephan Jank, 2016.
"Can Internet Search Queries Help to Predict Stock Market Volatility?,"
European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(2), pages 171-192, March.
- Dimpfl, Thomas & Jank, Stephan, 2011. "Can Internet search queries help to predict stock market volatility?," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 18, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
- Dimpfl, Thomas & Jank, Stephan, 2011. "Can internet search queries help to predict stock market volatility?," CFR Working Papers 11-15, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
- Dhaene, Geert & Wu, Jianbin, 2020. "Incorporating overnight and intraday returns into multivariate GARCH volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 471-495.
- Horta, Eduardo & Ziegelmann, Flavio, 2018. "Dynamics of financial returns densities: A functional approach applied to the Bovespa intraday index," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 75-88.
- Xu, Yanyan & Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Chu, Jielei, 2024. "Liquidity and realized volatility prediction in Chinese stock market: A time-varying transitional dynamic perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 543-560.
- Amendola, Alessandra & Braione, Manuela & Candila, Vincenzo & Storti, Giuseppe, 2020. "A Model Confidence Set approach to the combination of multivariate volatility forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 873-891.
- O-Chia Chuang & Chenxu Yang, 2022. "Identifying the Determinants of Crude Oil Market Volatility by the Multivariate GARCH-MIDAS Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, April.
- Tong Fang & Deyu Miao & Zhi Su & Libo Yin, 2023. "Uncertainty‐driven oil volatility risk premium and international stock market volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 872-904, July.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marcel Scharth, 2012.
"The Analysis of Stochastic Volatility in the Presence of Daily Realized Measures,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(1), pages 76-115, December.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marcel Scharth, 2011. "The Analysis of Stochastic Volatility in the Presence of Daily Realised Measures," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-132/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Bannouh, Karim & Martens, Martin & van Dijk, Dick, 2013.
"Forecasting volatility with the realized range in the presence of noise and non-trading,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 535-551.
- Bannouh, K. & Martens, M.P.E. & van Dijk, D.J.C., 2012. "Forecasting Volatility with the Realized Range in the Presence of Noise and Non-Trading," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2012-018-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
- Xu, Qifa & Zhuo, Xingxuan & Jiang, Cuixia & Liu, Xi & Liu, Yezheng, 2018. "Group penalized unrestricted mixed data sampling model with application to forecasting US GDP growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 221-236.
- Su, Zhi & Liu, Peng & Fang, Tong, 2022. "Pandemic-induced fear and stock market returns: Evidence from China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Xu, Qifa & Chen, Lu & Jiang, Cuixia & Yuan, Jing, 2018. "Measuring systemic risk of the banking industry in China: A DCC-MIDAS-t approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 13-31.
- Tianlun Fei & Xiaoquan Liu & Conghua Wen, 2023. "Forecasting stock return volatility: Realized volatility‐type or duration‐based estimators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1594-1621, November.
- Weijia Peng & Chun Yao, 2022. "Co-Jumps, Co-Jump Tests, and Volatility Forecasting: Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-21, July.
- Patton, Andrew J., 2011. "Data-based ranking of realised volatility estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 284-303, April.
- Lu, Botao & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Ding, Hui & Wahab, M.I.M., 2021. "Harnessing the decomposed realized measures for volatility forecasting: Evidence from the US stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 672-689.
- Valenzuela, Marcela & Zer, Ilknur & Fryzlewicz, Piotr & Rheinlander, Thorsten, 2015. "Relative liquidity and future volatility," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 62181, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Jiang, Cuixia & Xiong, Wei & Xu, Qifa & Liu, Yezheng, 2021. "Predicting default of listed companies in mainland China via U-MIDAS Logit model with group lasso penalty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
- Cheng, Mingmian & Swanson, Norman R. & Yang, Xiye, 2021. "Forecasting volatility using double shrinkage methods," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 46-61.
- Piotr Fryzlewicz & Thorsten Rheinlander & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2014. "Relative Liquidity and Future Volatility," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-45, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).