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Aggregate electricity demand in South Africa: Conditional forecasts to 2030

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  1. Ye, Yuxiang & Koch, Steven F. & Zhang, Jiangfeng, 2018. "Determinants of household electricity consumption in South Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 120-133.
  2. Lin, Whei-Min & Gow, Hong-Jey & Tsai, Ming-Tang, 2010. "An enhanced radial basis function network for short-term electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(10), pages 3226-3234, October.
  3. Bohlmann, J.A. & Inglesi-Lotz, R., 2021. "Examining the determinants of electricity demand by South African households per income level," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(PA).
  4. Adom, Philip Kofi & Bekoe, William, 2012. "Conditional dynamic forecast of electrical energy consumption requirements in Ghana by 2020: A comparison of ARDL and PAM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 367-380.
  5. Mathaba, Tebello & Mpholo, Moeketsi & Letuma, Mosuoe, 2012. "Velocity and power density analysis of the wind at Letšeng-la-terae in Lesotho," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 210-217.
  6. Morgan Bazilian & Patrick Nussbaumer & Hans-Holger Rogner & Abeeku Brew-Hammond & Vivien Foster & Shonali Pachauri & Eric Williams & Mark Howells & Philippe Niyongabo & Lawrence Musaba & Brian Ó Galla, 2011. "Energy Access Scenarios to 2030 for the Power Sector in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers 2011.68, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  7. Zhu, Suling & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhao, Weigang & Wang, Jujie, 2011. "A seasonal hybrid procedure for electricity demand forecasting in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(11), pages 3807-3815.
  8. Rahim Zahedi & Alireza Zahedi & Abolfazl Ahmadi, 2022. "Strategic Study for Renewable Energy Policy, Optimizations and Sustainability in Iran," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-29, February.
  9. Arndt, Channing & Davies, Rob & Gabriel, Sherwin & Makrelov, Konstantin & Merven, Bruno & Hartley, Faaiqa & Thurlow, James, 2016. "A sequential approach to integrated energy modeling in South Africa," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 591-599.
  10. Suganthi, L. & Samuel, Anand A., 2012. "Energy models for demand forecasting—A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 1223-1240.
  11. Adom, Philip Kofi & Bekoe, William, 2013. "Modelling electricity demand in Ghana revisited: The role of policy regime changes," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 42-50.
  12. Koech Cheruiyot & Ezekiel Lengaram & Mncedisi Siteleki, 2024. "South Africa’s Energy Landscape Amidst the Crisis: Unpacking Energy Sources and Drivers with 2022 South African Census Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-20, January.
  13. Inglesi-Lotz, Roula & Blignaut, James N., 2011. "South Africa’s electricity consumption: A sectoral decomposition analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(12), pages 4779-4784.
  14. Keho, Yaya, 2016. "What drives energy consumption in developing countries? The experience of selected African countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 233-246.
  15. Oluwafemi E. Ige & Oludolapo A. Olanrewaju & Kevin J. Duffy & Obiora C. Collins, 2022. "Environmental Impact Analysis of Portland Cement (CEM1) Using the Midpoint Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-16, April.
  16. Shao, Zhen & Chao, Fu & Yang, Shan-Lin & Zhou, Kai-Le, 2017. "A review of the decomposition methodology for extracting and identifying the fluctuation characteristics in electricity demand forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 123-136.
  17. Baruah, Debendra Chandra & Enweremadu, Christopher Chintua, 2019. "Prospects of decentralized renewable energy to improve energy access: A resource-inventory-based analysis of South Africa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 328-341.
  18. Channing Arndt & Rob Davies & Sherwin Gabriel & Konstantin Makrelov & Bruno Merven & Faaiqa Salie & James Thurlow, 2014. "An Integrated Approach to Modelling Energy Policy in South Africa: Evaluating Carbon Taxes and Electricity Import Restrictions," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2014-135, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  19. Zhang, Jinjun & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Hussain, Khadim & Akram, Sabahat & Alvarado, Rafael & Almulhim, Abdulaziz I., 2022. "Another perspective towards energy consumption factors in Pakistan: Fresh policy insights from novel methodological framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
  20. Angelika Goliger & Landon McMillan, 2018. "The tipping point: The impact of rising electricity tariffs on large firms in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-32, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  21. Hlalefang Khobai & Sanderson Abel & Pierre Le Roux, 2016. "Co-integration between Electricity Supply and Economic Growth in South Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 637-645.
  22. Yeqi An & Yulin Zhou & Rongrong Li, 2019. "Forecasting India’s Electricity Demand Using a Range of Probabilistic Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-24, July.
  23. Masike, Kabelo & Vermeulen, Cobus, 2022. "The time-varying elasticity of South African electricity demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
  24. Arndt, Channing & Davies, Rob & Gabriel, Sherwin & Makrelov, Konstantin & Merven, Bruno, 2014. "An integrated approach to modelling energy policy in South Africa: Evaluating carbon taxes and electricity import restrictions," WIDER Working Paper Series 135, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  25. Adom, Philip Kofi, 2017. "The long-run price sensitivity dynamics of industrial and residential electricity demand: The impact of deregulating electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 43-60.
  26. Lili Wang & Lina Zhan & Rongrong Li, 2019. "Prediction of the Energy Demand Trend in Middle Africa—A Comparison of MGM, MECM, ARIMA and BP Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-16, April.
  27. Omar Jouma El-Hafez & Tarek Y. ElMekkawy & Mohamed Kharbeche & Ahmed Massoud, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Qatar Electricity Demand and Load Forecasting: Preparedness of Distribution Networks for Emerging Situations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-13, July.
  28. Angelika Goliger & Aalia Cassim, 2018. "Household tipping points in the face of rising electricity tariffs in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-33, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  29. Bianco, Vincenzo & Manca, Oronzio & Nardini, Sergio & Minea, Alina A., 2010. "Analysis and forecasting of nonresidential electricity consumption in Romania," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(11), pages 3584-3590, November.
  30. Lin, Boqiang & Wang, Ailun, 2015. "Estimating energy conservation potential in China's commercial sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 147-156.
  31. Günay, M. Erdem, 2016. "Forecasting annual gross electricity demand by artificial neural networks using predicted values of socio-economic indicators and climatic conditions: Case of Turkey," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 92-101.
  32. You, Siming & Neoh, Koon Gee & Tong, Yen Wah & Dai, Yanjun & Wang, Chi-Hwa, 2017. "Variation of household electricity consumption and potential impact of outdoor PM2.5 concentration: A comparison between Singapore and Shanghai," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 475-484.
  33. Varma, Rashmi & Sushil,, 2019. "Bridging the electricity demand and supply gap using dynamic modeling in the Indian context," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 515-535.
  34. Bilgili, Faik & Pamuk, Yalçın & Halıcı Tülüce, Nadide Sevil, 2010. "Short run and long run dynamics of residential electricity consumption: Homogeneous and heterogeneous panel estimations for OECD," MPRA Paper 33291, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2011.
  35. Minglu Ma & Min Su & Shuyu Li & Feng Jiang & Rongrong Li, 2018. "Predicting Coal Consumption in South Africa Based on Linear (Metabolic Grey Model), Nonlinear (Non-Linear Grey Model), and Combined (Metabolic Grey Model-Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-15, July.
  36. Monyei, C.G. & Jenkins, K.E.H. & Viriri, S. & Adewumi, A.O., 2018. "Policy discussion for sustainable integrated electricity expansion in South Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 132-143.
  37. Monyei, C.G. & Adewumi, A.O., 2017. "Demand Side Management potentials for mitigating energy poverty in South Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 298-311.
  38. Inglesi-Lotz, R. & Pouris, A., 2012. "Energy efficiency in South Africa: A decomposition exercise," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 113-120.
  39. Klug, Thomas W. & Beyene, Abebe D. & Meles, Tensay H. & Toman, Michael A. & Hassen, Sied & Hou, Michael & Klooss, Benjamin & Mekonnen, Alemu & Jeuland, Marc, 2022. "A review of impacts of electricity tariff reform in Africa," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
  40. Boqiang Lin & Weisheng Liu, 2017. "Scenario Prediction of Energy Consumption and CO 2 Emissions in China’s Machinery Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, January.
  41. Daniel Morais de Souza & Rogerio Silva de Mattos & Alexandre Zanini, 2022. "Estimating Elasticities for the Residential Demand of Electricity in Brazil Using Cointegration Models," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 315-324, March.
  42. Steinbuks, Jevgenijs, 2019. "Assessing the accuracy of electricity production forecasts in developing countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1175-1185.
  43. Bothwell Nyoni & Andrew Phiri, 2018. "The Electricity-growth Nexus in South Africa: Evidence from Asymmetric Cointegration and Co-feature Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(6), pages 80-88.
  44. Debnath, Kumar Biswajit & Mourshed, Monjur, 2018. "Forecasting methods in energy planning models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 297-325.
  45. Amirnekooei, K. & Ardehali, M.M. & Sadri, A., 2012. "Integrated resource planning for Iran: Development of reference energy system, forecast, and long-term energy-environment plan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 374-385.
  46. Amoah, Anthony & Ferrini, Silvia & Schaafsma, Marije, 2019. "Electricity outages in Ghana: Are contingent valuation estimates valid?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  47. Overen Ochuko Kelvin & Meyer Leroy Edson & Makaka Golden, 2017. "Thermal, Economic and Environmental Analysis of a Low-Cost House in Alice, South Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-20, March.
  48. Hongyun, Han & Radwan, Amira, 2021. "Economic and social structure and electricity consumption in Egypt," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
  49. Bohlmann, Jessika Andreina & Inglesi-Lotz, Roula, 2018. "Analysing the South African residential sector's energy profile," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 240-252.
  50. Zhang, S. & Mishra, Y. & Shahidehpour, M., 2017. "Utilizing distributed energy resources to support frequency regulation services," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1484-1494.
  51. Adewuyi, Adeolu O., 2016. "Determinants of import demand for non-renewable energy (petroleum) products: Empirical evidence from Nigeria," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 73-93.
  52. Khalifa, Ahmed & Caporin, Massimiliano & Di Fonzo, Tommaso, 2019. "Scenario-based forecast for the electricity demand in Qatar and the role of energy efficiency improvements," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 155-164.
  53. Tang, Ling & Yu, Lean & Wang, Shuai & Li, Jianping & Wang, Shouyang, 2012. "A novel hybrid ensemble learning paradigm for nuclear energy consumption forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 432-443.
  54. Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "The sensitivity of the South African industrial sector’s electricity consumption to electricity price fluctuations," Working Papers 201225, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  55. Koch, Steven F. & Nkuna, Blessings & Ye, Yuxiang, 2024. "Income elasticity of residential electricity consumption in rural South Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  56. Minglu Ma & Zhuangzhuang Wang, 2019. "Prediction of the Energy Consumption Variation Trend in South Africa based on ARIMA, NGM and NGM-ARIMA Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
  57. Lin, Boqiang & Ouyang, Xiaoling, 2014. "Electricity demand and conservation potential in the Chinese nonmetallic mineral products industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 243-253.
  58. Khaya Pearlman Shabangu & Babatunde Femi Bakare & Joseph Kapuku Bwapwa, 2022. "Microbial Fuel Cells for Electrical Energy: Outlook on Scaling-Up and Application Possibilities towards South African Energy Grid," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-27, November.
  59. Xie, Qiaoyan & Adebayo, Tomiwa Sunday & Irfan, Muhammad & Altuntaş, Mehmet, 2022. "Race to environmental sustainability: Can renewable energy consumption and technological innovation sustain the strides for China?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 320-330.
  60. Al-Bajjali, Saif Kayed & Shamayleh, Adel Yacoub, 2018. "Estimating the determinants of electricity consumption in Jordan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 1311-1320.
  61. Inglesi-Lotz, R., 2011. "The evolution of price elasticity of electricity demand in South Africa: A Kalman filter application," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 3690-3696, June.
  62. Adom, Philip Kofi & Bekoe, William & Akoena, Sesi Kutri Komla, 2012. "Modelling aggregate domestic electricity demand in Ghana: An autoregressive distributed lag bounds cointegration approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 530-537.
  63. Lombard, Andrea & Ferreira, Sanette, 2014. "Residents' attitudes to proposed wind farms in the West Coast region of South Africa: A social perspective from the South," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 390-399.
  64. Kyohei Shibano & Gento Mogi, 2020. "Electricity Consumption Forecast Model Using Household Income: Case Study in Tanzania," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-14, May.
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