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Financial sector and output dynamics in the euro area countries

Author

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  • Kappler, Marcus
  • Schleer, Frauke
  • Semmler, Willi
  • Teräsvirta, Timo
  • Winker, Peter

Abstract

The financial and economic crisis has drawn attention to the need for a better understanding of destabilising effects that arise in the financial sector and spill over to the real economy. In turn, weakening economic conditions are likely to feed back to the financial sector, thus giving rise to an adverse feedback loop. The results of past studies indicate that financial stress - which is a reflection of vulnerability in the financial system - has a strong regime-specific impact on the real economy. Thereby, the literature distinguishes between high and low financial stress regimes. Almost all past studies have found that the financial sector exerts extremely negative effects after an increase of financial stress on economic activity in a distressed period and relatively small or even negligible negative effects in a low stress period. What has been lacking so far is research on financial sector and output dynamics as they may unfold over time. During some downswings the effect of financial sector instability on economic activity may be more severe than during others.

Suggested Citation

  • Kappler, Marcus & Schleer, Frauke & Semmler, Willi & Teräsvirta, Timo & Winker, Peter, 2013. "Financial sector and output dynamics in the euro area countries," ZEW policy briefs 9/2013, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewpbs:92013
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    Cited by:

    1. Turuntseva, M. & Zyamalov, V., 2016. "Stock Markets under the Changing Terms of Trade," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 31(3), pages 93-109.
    2. Willi Semmler & André Semmler & Christian Schoder, 2013. "Makroökonomische Effekte der Haushaltskonsolidierung in der Europäischen Union," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(4), pages 163-180.
    3. Ekkehard Ernst & Stefan Mittnik & Willi Semmler, 2016. "Interaction of Labour and Credit Market in Growth Regimes: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 45(3), pages 393-422, November.

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