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Klimakrise und tiefe Unsicherheit: Welche Antworten bietet die Theologie? Ein Literaturüberblick

Author

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  • Dressel, Markus
  • Held, Hermann

Abstract

Klimapolitische Entscheidungen sind herausfordernd. Eine besondere Schwierigkeit liegt in der Folgeabschätzung: Meist sind zwar die möglichen Handlungsfolgen, nicht aber deren Wahrscheinlichkeiten bekannt (Entscheidungen unter Unsicherheit). Mitunter ist sogar unklar, welche Handlungsfolgen überhaupt in Betracht kommen (Entscheidungen unter tiefer Unsicherheit). Zudem sind die potenziellen ökologischen, wirtschaftlichen und sozialen Folgen oft nur schwer mit einander vergleichbar. Es stellt sich daher die Frage, welche Entscheidungsregel für klimapolitische Entscheidungen unter Unsicherheit und tiefer Unsicherheit angemessen ist. Die vorliegende Arbeit betrachtet dieses Problem aus einer bisher kaum diskutierten Perspektive. Sie fragt, ob religiöse Traditionen als Quellen für Entscheidungsprinzipien im Klimakontext infrage kommen. Hierfür werden die Ergebnisse einer explorativen Literaturstudie vorgestellt. Betrachtet werden theologische, religionswissenschaftliche und philosophische Quellen aus dem Zeitraum von 1960 bis 2015. Es wird gezeigt, dass diese Quellen interessante Anknüpfungspunkte für Entscheidungsprobleme im Klimakontext bieten, sowohl hinsichtlich entscheidungstheoretischer als auch weiterer Fragestellung, etwa zum Verhältnis von Religion und Ökologie. Gleichzeitig werden auch die Grenzen dieser theologischen Impulse für klimapolitische Entscheidungsprobleme diskutiert.

Suggested Citation

  • Dressel, Markus & Held, Hermann, 2022. "Klimakrise und tiefe Unsicherheit: Welche Antworten bietet die Theologie? Ein Literaturüberblick," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 73, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:uhhwps:73
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. D. Moellendorf, 2011. "A normative account of dangerous climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(1), pages 57-72, September.
    2. Martin L. Weitzman, 2011. "Fat-Tailed Uncertainty in the Economics of Catastrophic Climate Change," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 5(2), pages 275-292, Summer.
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    Keywords

    Unsicherheit; tiefe Unsicherheit; Entscheidungsregeln; Klimakrise; Theologie; Religion und Ökologie;
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