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Belarus: Sovereignty under threat. Impacts of the Russian war against Ukraine

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  • Huterer, Manfred
  • Sahm, Astrid

Abstract

Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 also called the sovereignty of Belarus into question. The country served as a launching pad for the attack, thus becoming a co-aggressor. However, relations between Minsk and Moscow changed the longer the war has lasted. Belarusian leader Lukashenka has increasingly acted like a self-confident war service provider toward Kremlin boss Putin. At the same time, he has been able to avoid any direct military involvement and has sought to preserve his chance at serving as a mediator. Nevertheless, Belarus' structural dependence on Russia has continued to increase in many areas. Right now, this gradual loss of sovereignty can still be reversed. In order for this to remain the situation, the EU and Germany must not write the country off.

Suggested Citation

  • Huterer, Manfred & Sahm, Astrid, 2024. "Belarus: Sovereignty under threat. Impacts of the Russian war against Ukraine," SWP Comments 22/2024, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), German Institute for International and Security Affairs.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:swpcom:299528
    DOI: 10.18449/2024C22
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    Keywords

    Belarus; Russia; Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine; Alexander Lukashenka; Vladimir Putin; Yevgeny Prigozhin; Union State of Russia and Belarus;
    All these keywords.

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