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Money growth volatility and the demand for money in Germany: Friedman's volatility hypothesis revisited

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  • Brüggemann, Imke
  • Nautz, Dieter

Abstract

Recently, the Bundesbank claimed that monetary targeting has become considerably more diffcult by the increased volatility of short-term money growth. The present paper investigates the impact of German money growth volatility on income velocity and money demand in view of Friedman's money growth volatility hypothesis. Granger-causality tests provide some evidence for a velocity-volatility linkage. However the estimation of volatility-augmented money demand functions reveals that - in contrast to Friedman's hypothesis - increased money growth volatility lowered the demand for money.

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  • Brüggemann, Imke & Nautz, Dieter, 1997. "Money growth volatility and the demand for money in Germany: Friedman's volatility hypothesis revisited," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1997,23, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb373:199723
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    Cited by:

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    2. S. M. Woahid Murad, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Uncertainty on Money Demand Function in Bangladesh: A Nonlinear ARDL and Cumulative Fourier Causality Approach," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 20(2), pages 1-13, September.
    3. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Mehrnoosh Hasanzade, 2022. "Policy uncertainty and income distribution: Asymmetric evidence from state‐level data in the United States," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(1), pages 179-220, January.
    4. S. M. Woahid Murad & Ruhul Salim & Md. Golam Kibria, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Demand for Money in India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(3), pages 451-470, September.
    5. Saten Kumar & Don J. Webber, 2013. "Australasian money demand stability: application of structural break tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(8), pages 1011-1025, March.
    6. Andree Kenne Fotie & Herbert Klauss Kemtsop Fotie, 2024. "The Effect of Policy Uncertainty on Money Demand in CEMAC Countries," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 14(1), pages 72-90, December.
    7. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Majid Maki Nayeri, 2018. "Policy Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in Australia: an Asymmetry Analysis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 456-469, December.
    8. Hussin Abdullah & Shehu El-Rasheed, 2019. "Financial Sector Reforms, Monetary and Output Uncertainties and the Behavior of Money Demand in Kenya: The Divisia Index Approach," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(7), pages 766-777, July.
    9. Dilruba Yesmin Smrity & Muhaiminul Islam Selim, 2020. "Exchange Rate Uncertainty and the Demand for Money in Bangladesh: An Analysis of VECM Model," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(4), pages 241-247, December.
    10. S. M. Woahid Murad, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Uncertainty on Money Demand Function in Bangladesh: A Nonlinear ARDL and Cumulative Fourier Causality Approach," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 20(2), pages 187-199, September.
    11. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Sahar Bahmani, 2014. "Monetary Uncertainty and Demand for Money in Korea," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(3), pages 317-324, March.
    12. S. M. Woahid Murad, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Economic Uncertainty on Money Demand Function in Bangladesh: A Nonlinear ARDL and Cumulative Fourier Causality Approach," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 20(3), pages 201-213, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ARCH models; Money growth volatility; demand for money;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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