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Empirical Evidence on the Generalized Taylor Principle

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  • Jovanovic, Mario

Abstract

During financial crises central banks usually decrease interest rates in order to reduce financial uncertainty. This behavior increases inflation risk. The trade-off between inflation and uncertainty stabilization can be modeled by the generalized Taylor rule, which describes inflation sensitivity as a function of financial uncertainty instead of a constant parameter. Based on the GMM-estimation of the generalized approach I confirm the suggested uncertainty-dependent inflation sensitivity of the Fed. Prolonged deviations from the Taylor principle are not evident. This implies that the Fed does not deemphasize inflation stabilization in favor of uncertainty stabilization - especially during the peak of the latest sub-prime crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Jovanovic, Mario, 2012. "Empirical Evidence on the Generalized Taylor Principle," Ruhr Economic Papers 334, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:rwirep:334
    DOI: 10.4419/86788384
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David Andolfatto & Paul Gomme, 2003. "Monetary Policy Regimes and Beliefs," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 44(1), pages 1-30, February.
    2. John B. Taylor, 1999. "A Historical Analysis of Monetary Policy Rules," NBER Chapters, in: Monetary Policy Rules, pages 319-348, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Kaminsky, Graciela, 1993. "Is There a Peso Problem? Evidence from the Dollar/Pound Exchange Rate, 1976-1987," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(3), pages 450-472, June.
    4. John B. Taylor, 1999. "Monetary Policy Rules," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number tayl99-1, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Philippe Burger, 2014. "Inflation and Market Uncertainty in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(4), pages 583-602, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial instability; time-varying inflation sensitivity;

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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