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Credit card entrepreneurs

Author

Listed:
  • Akcigit, Ufuk
  • Chhina, Raman
  • Cilasun, Seyit Mümin
  • Miranda, Javier
  • Serrano-Velarde, Nicolas

Abstract

Utilizing near real-time QuickBooks data from over 1.6 million small businesses and a targeted survey, this paper highlights the critical role credit card financing plays for small business activity. We examine a two year period beginning in January of 2021. A turbulent period during which, credit card usage by small U.S. businesses nearly doubled, interest payments rose by 60%, and delinquencies reached 2.8%. We find, first, monthly credit card payments were up to three times higher than loan payments during this time. Second, we use targeted surveys of these small businesses to establish credit cards as a key financing source in response to firm-level shocks, such as uncertain cash flows and overdue invoices. Third, we establish the importance of credit cards as an important financial transmission mechanism. Following the Federal Reserve's rate hikes in early 2022, banks cut credit card supply, leading to a 15.75% drop in balances and a 10% decline in revenue growth, as well as a 1.5% decrease in employment growth among U.S. small businesses. These higher rates also rendered interest payments unsustainable for many, contributing to half of the observed increase in delinquencies. Lastly, a simple heterogeneous firm model with a cash-in-hand constraint illustrates the significant macroeconomic impact of credit card financing on small business activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Akcigit, Ufuk & Chhina, Raman & Cilasun, Seyit Mümin & Miranda, Javier & Serrano-Velarde, Nicolas, 2025. "Credit card entrepreneurs," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2025, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwhdps:313647
    DOI: 10.18717/dpp02f-hc23
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit; credit cards; entrepreneurship; job creation; small businesses; turnover;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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