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Benchmarking the future: a dynamic, multi-regional, multi-sectoral trade model for the analysis of climate policies

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  • Klepper, Gernot
  • Springer, Katrin

Abstract

For analyzing the impact of climate change and of international climate policies on the international division of labor and on regional welfare the use of a disaggregated multi–sectoral, multi–regional dynamic computable general equilibrium model is appropriate. This paper discusses the problems of defining an appropriate benchmark against which policy simulations and climate change impacts can be assessed. It explicitly considers regionally differentiated growth rates by basing the development of the parameters which determine human and physical capital growth, technical progress and technology diffusion as well as savings decisions on historical developments and estimates in the literature. A sensitivity analysis of important parameters is performed.

Suggested Citation

  • Klepper, Gernot & Springer, Katrin, 2000. "Benchmarking the future: a dynamic, multi-regional, multi-sectoral trade model for the analysis of climate policies," Kiel Working Papers 976, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:976
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/2408/1/kap976.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Nordhaus, William D, 1991. "To Slow or Not to Slow: The Economics of the Greenhouse Effect," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 101(407), pages 920-937, July.
    4. Kurtze, Christiane & Springer, Katrin, 1999. "Modelling the economic impact of global warming in a general equilibrium framework," Kiel Working Papers 922, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Nordhaus, William D & Yang, Zili, 1996. "A Regional Dynamic General-Equilibrium Model of Alternative Climate-Change Strategies," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(4), pages 741-765, September.
    6. Psacharopoulos, George, 1994. "Returns to investment in education: A global update," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 22(9), pages 1325-1343, September.
    7. Xavier Sala-I-Martin, 1997. "Transfers, Social Safety Nets, and Economic Growth," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 44(1), pages 81-102, March.
    8. Robert E. Hall & Charles I. Jones, 1999. "Why do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output Per Worker than Others?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 114(1), pages 83-116.
    9. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
    10. Springer, Katrin, 1998. "The DART general equilibrium model: A technical description," Kiel Working Papers 883, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hübler, Michael, 2012. "Carbon tariffs on Chinese exports: Emissions reduction, threat, or farce?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 315-327.
    2. Hübler, Michael, 2009. "Can carbon based import tariffs effectively reduce carbon emissions?," Kiel Working Papers 1565, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Klepper, Gernot & Peterson, Sonja & Springer, Katrin, 2003. "DART97: a description of the multi-regional, multi-sectoral trade model for the analysis of climate policies," Kiel Working Papers 1149, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Rojas-Romagosa, Hugo, 2010. "Wage inequality in trade-in-tasks models," Conference papers 331923, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Deke, Oliver & Hooss, Kurt Georg & Kasten, Christiane & Klepper, Gernot & Springer, Katrin, 2001. "Economic impact of climate change: simulations with a regionalized climate-economy model," Kiel Working Papers 1065, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    human capital; physical capital; calibration; energy supply; GTAP data set; off-steady-state growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • O3 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy

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