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Optimal growth under stochastic resource supply

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  • Behrens, Axel

Abstract

If an economy faces stochastic fluctuations of the resource availability, for example in the case of resource imports, it is optimal in the long run to increase the domestic savings rate in contrast to a deterministic world. Uncertainty is partly substituted by capital accumulation. But this is only true in the long run. The short run effects depend on the capital stock so far accumulated. It is shown that in some cases it may be optimal to lessen the domestic savings rate temporarily when uncertainty increases.

Suggested Citation

  • Behrens, Axel, 1990. "Optimal growth under stochastic resource supply," Kiel Working Papers 438, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:438
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    2. Fwu-Ranq Chang & A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Asymptotic Growth under Uncertainty: Existence and Uniqueness," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 1, pages 3-8, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Newbery, David M, 1984. "Commodity Price Stabilization in Imperfect or Cartelized Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 563-578, May.
    4. Robert C. Merton, 1975. "An Asymptotic Theory of Growth Under Uncertainty," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 42(3), pages 375-393.
    5. Hallett, A. J. Hughes, 1984. "Optimal stockpiling in a high-risk commodity market the case of copper," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 211-238, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Klodt, Henning, 1990. "Government support for restructuring the East German economy," Kiel Working Papers 450, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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