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Contagion effect of financial crisis on OECD stock markets

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  • Kazi, Irfan Akbar
  • Guesmi, Khaled
  • Kaabia, Olfa

Abstract

In this paper we investigate the contagion effect between stock markets of U.S and sixteen OECD countries due to Global Financial Crisis (2007-2009). We apply Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH model Engle (2002) to daily stock price data (2002-2009). In order to recognize the contagion effect, we test whether the mean of the DCC coefficients in crisis period differs from that in the pre-crisis period. The identification of break point due to the crisis is made by Bai-Perron (1998, 2003) structural break test. We find a significant increase in the mean of dynamic conditional correlation coefficient between U.S and OECD stock markets under study during the crisis period for most of the countries. This proves the existence of contagion between the US and the OECD stock markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Kazi, Irfan Akbar & Guesmi, Khaled & Kaabia, Olfa, 2011. "Contagion effect of financial crisis on OECD stock markets," Economics Discussion Papers 2011-15, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:201115
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Choudhry, Taufiq & Lu, Lin & Peng, Ke, 2007. "Common stochastic trends among Far East stock prices: Effects of the Asian financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 242-261.
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    1. Houssem Rachdi & Rym Ben Selma Mokni & Sana Khemiri, 2013. "The Impact of the International Financial Crisis on the Stock Market Return: The Case of Tunisian Stock Exchange," Journal of Empirical Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 1(2), pages 67-74.
    2. Domingo Rodríguez Benavides & Ignacio Perrotini Hernández, 2019. "Las correlaciones dinámicas de contagio financiero:Estados Unidos y América Latina," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 14(2), pages 151-168, Abril-Jun.
    3. Karanasos, Menelaos & Yfanti, Stavroula & Karoglou, Michail, 2016. "Multivariate FIAPARCH modelling of financial markets with dynamic correlations in times of crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 332-349.
    4. Neha Seth & Monica Sighania, 2017. "Financial market contagion: selective review of reviews," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(4), pages 391-408, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial crisis; integration; contagion; multivariate GARCH-DCC model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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