IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/ifwbox/201517.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Typische Erholungsphasen der Unternehmensinvestitionen im Anschluss an normale Rezessionen und Bankenkrisen

Author

Listed:
  • Jannsen, Nils

Abstract

Die Unternehmensinvestitionen sind eine zentrale Größe für die volkswirtschaftliche Entwicklung. So verhalten sie sich in der Regel sehr prozyklisch und prägen damit maßgeblich den Konjunkturverlauf. Zudem sind sie auch für die langfristigen Wachstumsperspektiven einer Volkswirtschaft bedeutsam, da sie den für die Produktion zur Verfügung stehenden Kapitalstock determinieren. Im Zuge der Großen Rezession und der Schuldenkrisen in einigen Ländern des Euroraums sind die Unternehmensinvestitionen zum Teil regelrecht eingebrochen. In einigen Volkswirtschaften haben sie sich zwar wieder etwas erholt, alles in allem haben sie sich jedoch schwächer entwickelt, als vielfach erwartet worden war, und tendieren gerade im Euroraum vielerorts nach wie vor zur Schwäche. Im Folgenden werden stilisierte Fakten für die Entwicklung der Unternehmensinvestitionen in Erholungsphasen (also im Anschluss an Rezessionen) empirisch ermittelt. Die Ergebnisse werden mit den aktuellen Entwicklungen bei den Unternehmensinvestitionen in ausgewählten Ländern des Euroraums verglichen und es wird daraus abgeleitet, ob diese Entwicklungen im Einklang mit den historischen Erfahrungen stehen.

Suggested Citation

  • Jannsen, Nils, 2015. "Typische Erholungsphasen der Unternehmensinvestitionen im Anschluss an normale Rezessionen und Bankenkrisen," Kiel Insight 2015.17, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwbox:201517
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/201104/1/ifw-box-2015-17.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beaudry, Paul & Koop, Gary, 1993. "Do recessions permanently change output?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 149-163, April.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "Varieties of Crises and Their Dates," Introductory Chapters, in: This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, Princeton University Press.
    3. √Íscar Jord√Ä & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2013. "When Credit Bites Back," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(s2), pages 3-28, December.
    4. Jannsen, Nils, 2015. "The dynamics of business investment following banking crises and normal recessions," Kiel Working Papers 1996, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ademmer, Martin & Beckmann, Joscha & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Meuchelböck, Saskia, 2021. "Deutsche Wirtschaft im Sommer 2021 - Mehr Druck auf den Preisventilen [German Economy Summer 2021 - Pronounced price pressures]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 80, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2015. "Konjunktur im Euroraum im Herbst 2015 - Moderate Erholung im Euroraum [Euro Area Economy Autumn 2015 - Euro Area: Moderate Recovery proceeds]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 10, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Mösle, Saskia & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2020. "Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland im Herbst 2020. Wachstumspfad flacht sich ab - zusätzliche Risiken durch die Pandemie," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 72, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2016_003 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Eichengreen, Barry & Park, Donghyun & Shin, Kwanho, 2021. "The shape of recovery: Implications of past experience for the duration of the COVID-19 recession," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    5. Jordà, Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2015. "Leveraged bubbles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(S), pages 1-20.
    6. Krishnamurthy, Arvind & Li, Wenhao, 2020. "Dissecting Mechanisms of Financial Crises: Intermediation and Sentiment," Research Papers 3874, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
    7. Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils, 2017. "Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 760-769.
    8. Ye Li, 2018. "Fragile New Economy: The Rise of Intangible Capital and Financial Instability," 2018 Meeting Papers 1189, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    9. Bernardini, Marco & Forni, Lorenzo, 2020. "Private and public debt interlinkages in bad times," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    10. Francesco Lamperti & Valentina Bosetti & Andrea Roventini & Massimo Tavoni, 2019. "The public costs of climate-induced financial instability," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(11), pages 829-833, November.
    11. Basco, Sergi & Domènech, Jordi & Rosés, Joan R., 2021. "The redistributive effects of pandemics: Evidence on the Spanish flu," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    12. Òscar Jordá & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016. "Sovereigns Versus Banks: Credit, Crises, and Consequences," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(1), pages 45-79.
    13. Paul Wachtel, 2018. "Credit Deepening: Precursor to Growth or Crisis?," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(1), pages 34-43, March.
    14. Björn Richter & Moritz Schularick & Paul Wachtel, 2021. "When to Lean against the Wind," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(1), pages 5-39, February.
    15. Pascal Paul, 2018. "Historical Patterns of Inequality and Productivity around Financial Crises," 2018 Meeting Papers 583, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Clément Mathonnat & Alexandru Minea & Marcel Voia, 2022. "Does more finance lead to longer crises?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 111-135, January.
    17. Rey, Hélène & Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier, 2016. "Real Interest Rates, Imbalances and the Curse of Regional Safe Asset Providers at the Zero Lower Bound," CEPR Discussion Papers 11503, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2017. "Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle, and Ultra-Low Interest Rates," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(3), pages 55-89, September.
    19. Paymon Khorrami & Fernando Mendo, 2021. "Rational Sentiments and Financial Frictions," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 928, Central Bank of Chile.
    20. Nicu Sprincean, 2019. "Early Warning Indicators For Macrofinancial Activity In Romania," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 23, pages 137-162, June.
    21. Tyler Muir, 2017. "Financial Crises and Risk Premia," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(2), pages 765-809.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwbox:201517. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwkiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.